Recent short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and strong solar heating as the main drivers pushing Taipei's July 21 maximum into the mid-30s°C range, with 36°C currently commanding the highest trader-implied probability. Afternoon instability and scattered thundershowers introduce key uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or localized convection could limit peak readings to 35°C or allow brief spikes toward 37°C amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Historical July climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs near 33–35°C, making model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture the decisive variables ahead of daily CWA updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on July 21?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,754 KL.
$53,754 KL.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,754 KL.
$53,754 KL.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and strong solar heating as the main drivers pushing Taipei's July 21 maximum into the mid-30s°C range, with 36°C currently commanding the highest trader-implied probability. Afternoon instability and scattered thundershowers introduce key uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or localized convection could limit peak readings to 35°C or allow brief spikes toward 37°C amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Historical July climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs near 33–35°C, making model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture the decisive variables ahead of daily CWA updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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