Recent Central Weather Bureau forecasts and numerical models indicate partly cloudy conditions under northeast monsoon flow for Taipei on September 21, supporting daytime highs near 29°C with limited solar heating and moderate humidity. This aligns with observed cooling from recent 31–32°C peaks but leaves room for variance if cloud cover decreases more than expected. Trader consensus at 54.5% for 32°C reflects model spread and historical late-September variability, while 31°C and 33°C probabilities capture the narrow uncertainty band around official guidance. Key upcoming factors include updated model runs and morning observations that could shift resolution odds before the daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on September 21?
32°C 53%
31°C 22%
33°C 19%
30°C 6%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
53%
33°C
19%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 53%
31°C 22%
33°C 19%
30°C 6%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
53%
33°C
19%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Bureau forecasts and numerical models indicate partly cloudy conditions under northeast monsoon flow for Taipei on September 21, supporting daytime highs near 29°C with limited solar heating and moderate humidity. This aligns with observed cooling from recent 31–32°C peaks but leaves room for variance if cloud cover decreases more than expected. Trader consensus at 54.5% for 32°C reflects model spread and historical late-September variability, while 31°C and 33°C probabilities capture the narrow uncertainty band around official guidance. Key upcoming factors include updated model runs and morning observations that could shift resolution odds before the daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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