Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's commanding trader consensus at 92.8% for the Democratic Party in the IL-01 House race stems from the district's D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, marking it as the 75th most Democratic nationwide, coupled with Jackson's unchallenged March 17 primary victory and history of 65%+ general election margins in 2022 and 2024. GOP nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her primary 65%-35%, trails significantly in fundraising—Jackson outraised her 6-to-1 as of early May—with no public polling indicating competitiveness. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an extraordinary Republican midterm wave driving urban turnout shifts, the seat remains a safe Democratic hold ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-01 House Election Winner
IL-01 House Election Winner
$40,238 KL.
$40,238 KL.
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
5%
$40,238 KL.
$40,238 KL.
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's commanding trader consensus at 92.8% for the Democratic Party in the IL-01 House race stems from the district's D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index, marking it as the 75th most Democratic nationwide, coupled with Jackson's unchallenged March 17 primary victory and history of 65%+ general election margins in 2022 and 2024. GOP nominee Christian Maxwell, who won her primary 65%-35%, trails significantly in fundraising—Jackson outraised her 6-to-1 as of early May—with no public polling indicating competitiveness. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an extraordinary Republican midterm wave driving urban turnout shifts, the seat remains a safe Democratic hold ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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