The Illinois 4th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.7%. The seat became open after incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García opted not to seek reelection, with his former chief of staff Patty Garcia emerging from a crowded March 2026 primary as the party's standard-bearer in a heavily Hispanic, urban Chicago-area district. Republican opposition remains limited, and recent ballot rulings have further narrowed the field ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic candidate, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome despite the district's structural advantages.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-04 House Election Winner
IL-04 House Election Winner
$58,090 KL.
$58,090 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$58,090 KL.
$58,090 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$42,282 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$15,808 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 4th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.7%. The seat became open after incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García opted not to seek reelection, with his former chief of staff Patty Garcia emerging from a crowded March 2026 primary as the party's standard-bearer in a heavily Hispanic, urban Chicago-area district. Republican opposition remains limited, and recent ballot rulings have further narrowed the field ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic candidate, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome despite the district's structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$58,090Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 4th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.7%. The seat became open after incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García opted not to seek reelection, with his former chief of staff Patty Garcia emerging from a crowded March 2026 primary as the party's standard-bearer in a heavily Hispanic, urban Chicago-area district. Republican opposition remains limited, and recent ballot rulings have further narrowed the field ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic candidate, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome despite the district's structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$58,090Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 4th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.7%. The seat became open after incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García opted not to seek reelection, with his former chief of staff Patty Garcia emerging from a crowded March 2026 primary as the party's standard-bearer in a heavily Hispanic, urban Chicago-area district. Republican opposition remains limited, and recent ballot rulings have further narrowed the field ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic candidate, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome despite the district's structural advantages.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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