South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a legislative majority, requiring broad cross-party support in the National Assembly for any presidential impeachment resolution to advance. Recent petitions calling for Lee Jae-myung’s removal gathered signatures but stalled without referral, reflecting the absence of viable opposition momentum. Lee’s approval rating has declined to the low 40s amid housing and tax policy disputes, yet no comparable crisis—such as an unconstitutional power grab—has emerged to unify lawmakers against him. Local election results and internal party dynamics have further consolidated his position through mid-2026, with no scheduled votes or legal triggers capable of shifting the timeline before 2027. Traders price the outcome accordingly, viewing successful removal as structurally improbable absent unforeseen escalation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật11% khả năng
$20,368 KL.
$20,368 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
11% khả năng
$20,368 KL.
$20,368 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a legislative majority, requiring broad cross-party support in the National Assembly for any presidential impeachment resolution to advance. Recent petitions calling for Lee Jae-myung’s removal gathered signatures but stalled without referral, reflecting the absence of viable opposition momentum. Lee’s approval rating has declined to the low 40s amid housing and tax policy disputes, yet no comparable crisis—such as an unconstitutional power grab—has emerged to unify lawmakers against him. Local election results and internal party dynamics have further consolidated his position through mid-2026, with no scheduled votes or legal triggers capable of shifting the timeline before 2027. Traders price the outcome accordingly, viewing successful removal as structurally improbable absent unforeseen escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,368Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a legislative majority, requiring broad cross-party support in the National Assembly for any presidential impeachment resolution to advance. Recent petitions calling for Lee Jae-myung’s removal gathered signatures but stalled without referral, reflecting the absence of viable opposition momentum. Lee’s approval rating has declined to the low 40s amid housing and tax policy disputes, yet no comparable crisis—such as an unconstitutional power grab—has emerged to unify lawmakers against him. Local election results and internal party dynamics have further consolidated his position through mid-2026, with no scheduled votes or legal triggers capable of shifting the timeline before 2027. Traders price the outcome accordingly, viewing successful removal as structurally improbable absent unforeseen escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Khối lượng
$20,368Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a legislative majority, requiring broad cross-party support in the National Assembly for any presidential impeachment resolution to advance. Recent petitions calling for Lee Jae-myung’s removal gathered signatures but stalled without referral, reflecting the absence of viable opposition momentum. Lee’s approval rating has declined to the low 40s amid housing and tax policy disputes, yet no comparable crisis—such as an unconstitutional power grab—has emerged to unify lawmakers against him. Local election results and internal party dynamics have further consolidated his position through mid-2026, with no scheduled votes or legal triggers capable of shifting the timeline before 2027. Traders price the outcome accordingly, viewing successful removal as structurally improbable absent unforeseen escalation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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