Opposition parties KMT and TPP, holding a combined 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-member Legislative Yuan, lack the two-thirds supermajority (76 votes) required to impeach President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 98.2% on "No" by June 30. Proceedings initiated in December 2025 over Lai's refusal to countersign a fiscal bill have advanced through hearings, including a May 14 session Lai skipped, but show no momentum for defections from ruling DPP's 51 seats or independents. A roll-call vote is slated for May 19, yet procedural hurdles and partisan gridlock make passage improbable absent a major scandal or unexpected shifts. Late-breaking legal challenges or health events remain slim upset risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
$618,568 KL.
$618,568 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$618,568 KL.
$618,568 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties KMT and TPP, holding a combined 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-member Legislative Yuan, lack the two-thirds supermajority (76 votes) required to impeach President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 98.2% on "No" by June 30. Proceedings initiated in December 2025 over Lai's refusal to countersign a fiscal bill have advanced through hearings, including a May 14 session Lai skipped, but show no momentum for defections from ruling DPP's 51 seats or independents. A roll-call vote is slated for May 19, yet procedural hurdles and partisan gridlock make passage improbable absent a major scandal or unexpected shifts. Late-breaking legal challenges or health events remain slim upset risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$618,568Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties KMT and TPP, holding a combined 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-member Legislative Yuan, lack the two-thirds supermajority (76 votes) required to impeach President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 98.2% on "No" by June 30. Proceedings initiated in December 2025 over Lai's refusal to countersign a fiscal bill have advanced through hearings, including a May 14 session Lai skipped, but show no momentum for defections from ruling DPP's 51 seats or independents. A roll-call vote is slated for May 19, yet procedural hurdles and partisan gridlock make passage improbable absent a major scandal or unexpected shifts. Late-breaking legal challenges or health events remain slim upset risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Khối lượng
$618,568Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Opposition parties KMT and TPP, holding a combined 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-member Legislative Yuan, lack the two-thirds supermajority (76 votes) required to impeach President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 98.2% on "No" by June 30. Proceedings initiated in December 2025 over Lai's refusal to countersign a fiscal bill have advanced through hearings, including a May 14 session Lai skipped, but show no momentum for defections from ruling DPP's 51 seats or independents. A roll-call vote is slated for May 19, yet procedural hurdles and partisan gridlock make passage improbable absent a major scandal or unexpected shifts. Late-breaking legal challenges or health events remain slim upset risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp