Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate overnight lows in Chengdu around 24–26°C for August 26, with the Sichuan Basin under a persistent subtropical ridge that limits radiative cooling amid high humidity and light winds. Scattered showers, expected to reduce clear-sky heat loss, and typical late-summer monsoon moisture further support minimums near the market leaders at 25–26°C. Model ensembles show modest spread due to variable cloud timing and local urban heat effects, explaining the tight probabilities between these outcomes versus cooler or warmer extremes, which would require atypical frontal passages or prolonged clear skies not currently indicated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?
22°C 47%
23°C 47%
20°C or below 35%
30°C or higher 34%
20°C or below
35%
21°C
7%
22°C
47%
23°C
47%
24°C
18%
25°C
29%
26°C
32%
27°C
23%
28°C
1%
29°C
23%
30°C or higher
34%
22°C 47%
23°C 47%
20°C or below 35%
30°C or higher 34%
20°C or below
35%
21°C
7%
22°C
47%
23°C
47%
24°C
18%
25°C
29%
26°C
32%
27°C
23%
28°C
1%
29°C
23%
30°C or higher
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate overnight lows in Chengdu around 24–26°C for August 26, with the Sichuan Basin under a persistent subtropical ridge that limits radiative cooling amid high humidity and light winds. Scattered showers, expected to reduce clear-sky heat loss, and typical late-summer monsoon moisture further support minimums near the market leaders at 25–26°C. Model ensembles show modest spread due to variable cloud timing and local urban heat effects, explaining the tight probabilities between these outcomes versus cooler or warmer extremes, which would require atypical frontal passages or prolonged clear skies not currently indicated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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