**Clear skies and strong diurnal temperature swings under persistent high-pressure influence are anchoring trader focus on minimum temperatures near 25–26°C for Chongqing on September 6.** Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources show overnight lows stabilizing around 25–27°C amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with daytime maxima climbing to 36–38°C. Key differentiating factors include the rate of nocturnal radiative cooling under low cloud cover, urban heat retention in the city basin, and subtle variations in low-level humidity and light southeasterly winds that limit mixing. Model ensembles exhibit modest spread in the exact minimum due to these boundary-layer processes, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 24–27°C. Updated short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local observations will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
21°C or below 50%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
21°C or below
50%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
38%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
43%
21°C or below 50%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
21°C or below
50%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
38%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and strong diurnal temperature swings under persistent high-pressure influence are anchoring trader focus on minimum temperatures near 25–26°C for Chongqing on September 6.** Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources show overnight lows stabilizing around 25–27°C amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with daytime maxima climbing to 36–38°C. Key differentiating factors include the rate of nocturnal radiative cooling under low cloud cover, urban heat retention in the city basin, and subtle variations in low-level humidity and light southeasterly winds that limit mixing. Model ensembles exhibit modest spread in the exact minimum due to these boundary-layer processes, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 24–27°C. Updated short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local observations will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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