Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows near 26°C for Chongqing on September 5, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge delivering clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 35–36°C but prevents sharp drops below seasonal norms. No incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover are expected in the next 48 hours to alter the trajectory. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects trader emphasis on measurement precision at official stations versus potential localized variations, while specific temperatures clustered around 24–27°C align with model consensus and historical early-September baselines for the region. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological authorities could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 5?
20°C or below 50%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
50%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
2%
20°C or below 50%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
50%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows near 26°C for Chongqing on September 5, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge delivering clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 35–36°C but prevents sharp drops below seasonal norms. No incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover are expected in the next 48 hours to alter the trajectory. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects trader emphasis on measurement precision at official stations versus potential localized variations, while specific temperatures clustered around 24–27°C align with model consensus and historical early-September baselines for the region. Updated guidance from Chinese meteorological authorities could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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