Recent high-pressure conditions and clear skies over southern England have promoted strong radiative cooling overnight, positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 21 near 11°C according to multiple forecast models. Light winds and low dew points enhance this cooling, with Met Office guidance indicating a minimum around 14°C while other runs show values dipping to 10–12°C in urban areas. These factors explain the market's strong preference for 11°C (46% implied probability) and 10°C (22.5%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and typical September nocturnal temperature drops under anticyclonic flow. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds as the overnight period approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 21?
Lowest temperature in London on September 21?
11°C 48%
10°C 23%
12°C 21%
13°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
23%
11°C
48%
12°C
21%
13°C
12%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
11°C 48%
10°C 23%
12°C 21%
13°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
8°C or below
$524 KL.
1%
9°C
$274 KL.
7%
10°C
$1,499 KL.
23%
11°C
$1,291 KL.
48%
12°C
$1,218 KL.
21%
13°C
$375 KL.
12%
14°C
$94 KL.
2%
15°C
$31 KL.
1%
16°C
$31 KL.
1%
17°C
$31 KL.
1%
18°C or higher
$31 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure conditions and clear skies over southern England have promoted strong radiative cooling overnight, positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 21 near 11°C according to multiple forecast models. Light winds and low dew points enhance this cooling, with Met Office guidance indicating a minimum around 14°C while other runs show values dipping to 10–12°C in urban areas. These factors explain the market's strong preference for 11°C (46% implied probability) and 10°C (22.5%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and typical September nocturnal temperature drops under anticyclonic flow. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds as the overnight period approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,401Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure conditions and clear skies over southern England have promoted strong radiative cooling overnight, positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 21 near 11°C according to multiple forecast models. Light winds and low dew points enhance this cooling, with Met Office guidance indicating a minimum around 14°C while other runs show values dipping to 10–12°C in urban areas. These factors explain the market's strong preference for 11°C (46% implied probability) and 10°C (22.5%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and typical September nocturnal temperature drops under anticyclonic flow. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds as the overnight period approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,401Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure conditions and clear skies over southern England have promoted strong radiative cooling overnight, positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 21 near 11°C according to multiple forecast models. Light winds and low dew points enhance this cooling, with Met Office guidance indicating a minimum around 14°C while other runs show values dipping to 10–12°C in urban areas. These factors explain the market's strong preference for 11°C (46% implied probability) and 10°C (22.5%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and typical September nocturnal temperature drops under anticyclonic flow. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds as the overnight period approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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