**Forecast models from the Met Office and others point to a minimum temperature of 14–15°C for London on September 22, 2026, under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling overnight.** Trader consensus clusters tightly on these values because daytime highs are expected to reach 23–25°C amid the ongoing warm spell, yet overnight drops depend on precise cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which recent model runs show varying by 1–2°C. Clear conditions promote greater heat loss from the surface compared to typical late-September maritime influence, while London's urban heat island provides a modest buffer against deeper cooling. Historical minima for the period average near 12–14°C, placing current projections slightly above baseline but still uncertain enough to keep 13°C and 16°C viable in market pricing. Forecasters will release updated guidance on wind shifts and any developing low cloud ahead of the overnight period, which could shift the exact low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 22?
14°C 33%
15°C 30%
13°C 21%
16°C 18%
10°C or below
4%
11°C
6%
12°C
6%
13°C
21%
14°C
33%
15°C
30%
16°C
18%
17°C
8%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
2%
14°C 33%
15°C 30%
13°C 21%
16°C 18%
10°C or below
4%
11°C
6%
12°C
6%
13°C
21%
14°C
33%
15°C
30%
16°C
18%
17°C
8%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Met Office and others point to a minimum temperature of 14–15°C for London on September 22, 2026, under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling overnight.** Trader consensus clusters tightly on these values because daytime highs are expected to reach 23–25°C amid the ongoing warm spell, yet overnight drops depend on precise cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which recent model runs show varying by 1–2°C. Clear conditions promote greater heat loss from the surface compared to typical late-September maritime influence, while London's urban heat island provides a modest buffer against deeper cooling. Historical minima for the period average near 12–14°C, placing current projections slightly above baseline but still uncertain enough to keep 13°C and 16°C viable in market pricing. Forecasters will release updated guidance on wind shifts and any developing low cloud ahead of the overnight period, which could shift the exact low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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