Forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light southwest winds over Madrid on August 28, 2026, supporting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that positions the overnight minimum near 11–12°C. Recent days have shown a cooling trend, with the prior night’s low at 16.3°C dropping under stable high-pressure conditions and low humidity, consistent with late-August climatology where clear nights can reach 3–5°C below seasonal averages. Model consensus points to a minimum in the 10–12°C range, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 11°C and 10°C outcomes while assigning low probability to colder or warmer extremes absent any incoming frontal systems or increased cloud cover.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
11°C 53%
9°C or below 12%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
12%
10°C
40%
11°C
53%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
11°C 53%
9°C or below 12%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
$99 KL.
12%
10°C
$147 KL.
40%
11°C
$1 KL.
53%
12°C
$175 KL.
<1%
13°C
$102 KL.
<1%
14°C
$190 KL.
<1%
15°C
$108 KL.
<1%
16°C
$103 KL.
<1%
17°C
$95 KL.
<1%
18°C
$75 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$50 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light southwest winds over Madrid on August 28, 2026, supporting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that positions the overnight minimum near 11–12°C. Recent days have shown a cooling trend, with the prior night’s low at 16.3°C dropping under stable high-pressure conditions and low humidity, consistent with late-August climatology where clear nights can reach 3–5°C below seasonal averages. Model consensus points to a minimum in the 10–12°C range, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 11°C and 10°C outcomes while assigning low probability to colder or warmer extremes absent any incoming frontal systems or increased cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,145Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light southwest winds over Madrid on August 28, 2026, supporting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that positions the overnight minimum near 11–12°C. Recent days have shown a cooling trend, with the prior night’s low at 16.3°C dropping under stable high-pressure conditions and low humidity, consistent with late-August climatology where clear nights can reach 3–5°C below seasonal averages. Model consensus points to a minimum in the 10–12°C range, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 11°C and 10°C outcomes while assigning low probability to colder or warmer extremes absent any incoming frontal systems or increased cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,145Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light southwest winds over Madrid on August 28, 2026, supporting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that positions the overnight minimum near 11–12°C. Recent days have shown a cooling trend, with the prior night’s low at 16.3°C dropping under stable high-pressure conditions and low humidity, consistent with late-August climatology where clear nights can reach 3–5°C below seasonal averages. Model consensus points to a minimum in the 10–12°C range, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 11°C and 10°C outcomes while assigning low probability to colder or warmer extremes absent any incoming frontal systems or increased cloud cover.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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