Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to an overnight low of 12–14°C in Mexico City on September 5, driven by the city’s high elevation near 2,240 m, which promotes rapid radiative cooling after sunset, combined with September’s rainy-season cloud cover and light precipitation that limit temperature drops. Recent model runs show slight variations—some projecting a minimum near 12°C under clearer breaks, others holding at 13–14°C with persistent moisture—creating closely matched market probabilities across these outcomes. Historical September averages near 13°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official station readings and exact timing of the daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?
7°C or below 45%
14°C 32%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
45%
8°C
7%
9°C
16%
10°C
8%
11°C
25%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
32%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C or higher
11%
7°C or below 45%
14°C 32%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
$20 KL.
45%
8°C
$12 KL.
7%
9°C
$12 KL.
16%
10°C
$0 KL.
8%
11°C
$0 KL.
25%
12°C
$2 KL.
27%
13°C
$2 KL.
27%
14°C
$2 KL.
32%
15°C
$0 KL.
26%
16°C
$0 KL.
25%
17°C or higher
$8 KL.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to an overnight low of 12–14°C in Mexico City on September 5, driven by the city’s high elevation near 2,240 m, which promotes rapid radiative cooling after sunset, combined with September’s rainy-season cloud cover and light precipitation that limit temperature drops. Recent model runs show slight variations—some projecting a minimum near 12°C under clearer breaks, others holding at 13–14°C with persistent moisture—creating closely matched market probabilities across these outcomes. Historical September averages near 13°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official station readings and exact timing of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$58Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to an overnight low of 12–14°C in Mexico City on September 5, driven by the city’s high elevation near 2,240 m, which promotes rapid radiative cooling after sunset, combined with September’s rainy-season cloud cover and light precipitation that limit temperature drops. Recent model runs show slight variations—some projecting a minimum near 12°C under clearer breaks, others holding at 13–14°C with persistent moisture—creating closely matched market probabilities across these outcomes. Historical September averages near 13°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official station readings and exact timing of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$58Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies points to an overnight low of 12–14°C in Mexico City on September 5, driven by the city’s high elevation near 2,240 m, which promotes rapid radiative cooling after sunset, combined with September’s rainy-season cloud cover and light precipitation that limit temperature drops. Recent model runs show slight variations—some projecting a minimum near 12°C under clearer breaks, others holding at 13–14°C with persistent moisture—creating closely matched market probabilities across these outcomes. Historical September averages near 13°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official station readings and exact timing of the daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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