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icon for Missouri passes ballot measure banning abortion and underage transgender surgeries?

Missouri passes ballot measure banning abortion and underage transgender surgeries?

icon for Missouri passes ballot measure banning abortion and underage transgender surgeries?

Missouri passes ballot measure banning abortion and underage transgender surgeries?

35% khả năng
Polymarket
MỚI
35% khả năng
Polymarket
MỚI
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). Missouri voters face Amendment 3 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred measure that would repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom, restrict most abortions to narrow exceptions, require parental consent, and permanently ban gender transition surgeries plus related medications for minors. Trader consensus at 50% reflects a balance between strong public support for the transgender care restrictions—polls show 67-73% opposition to such procedures for those under 18—and resistance to rolling back abortion access approved just two years earlier. Opposition campaigns frame the proposal as an effort to override prior voter will, while backers highlight protections for parental authority and existing state law on minors' care. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout among key voting blocs, and campaign messaging on the combined provisions could alter the outcome.

Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Khối lượng
$10
Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jul 30, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). Missouri voters face Amendment 3 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred measure that would repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom, restrict most abortions to narrow exceptions, require parental consent, and permanently ban gender transition surgeries plus related medications for minors. Trader consensus at 50% reflects a balance between strong public support for the transgender care restrictions—polls show 67-73% opposition to such procedures for those under 18—and resistance to rolling back abortion access approved just two years earlier. Opposition campaigns frame the proposal as an effort to override prior voter will, while backers highlight protections for parental authority and existing state law on minors' care. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout among key voting blocs, and campaign messaging on the combined provisions could alter the outcome.

Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Khối lượng
$10
Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jul 30, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).

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"Missouri passes ballot measure banning abortion and underage transgender surgeries?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần "Có" hoặc "Không" dựa trên việc họ tin sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra hay không. Xác suất cộng đồng hiện tại là 35% cho "Yes." Ví dụ, nếu "Có" ở giá 35¢, thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 35% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

"Missouri passes ballot measure banning abortion and underage transgender surgeries?" là thị trường mới được tạo trên Polymarket, mở vào Jul 30, 2026. Là thị trường sớm, đây là cơ hội để bạn trở thành một trong những trader đầu tiên đặt tỷ lệ và thiết lập tín hiệu giá ban đầu. Bạn cũng có thể đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi khối lượng và hoạt động giao dịch khi thị trường phát triển.

Để giao dịch trên "Missouri passes ballot measure banning abortion and underage transgender surgeries?," chỉ cần chọn bạn tin câu trả lời là "Có" hay "Không." Mỗi phía có giá hiện tại phản ánh xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu bạn mua cổ phần "Có" và kết quả là "Có," mỗi cổ phần trả $1. Nếu kết quả là "Không," cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Xác suất hiện tại cho "Missouri passes ballot measure banning abortion and underage transgender surgeries?" là 35% cho "Yes." Điều này có nghĩa cộng đồng Polymarket hiện tin rằng có 35% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này cập nhật theo thời gian thực dựa trên giao dịch thực tế, cung cấp tín hiệu liên tục cập nhật về điều thị trường kỳ vọng sẽ xảy ra.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Missouri passes ballot measure banning abortion and underage transgender surgeries?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.