Trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 59.5% in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, a battleground with an even partisan lean, reflecting uncertainty from the April 21 voter-approved constitutional amendment enabling mid-decade redistricting. Though court orders have blocked certification, proposed maps would shift Democratic-leaning precincts from the 3rd District, tilting VA-02 leftward and prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report to rate it Lean Democratic. Incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) seeks renomination amid a primary challenge, while Democrats' August 4 primary features well-funded former Rep. Elaine Luria ($2.3 million cash-on-hand) against Nila Devanath and others. Filing deadline looms May 26, with historical close races underscoring competitiveness ahead of November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-02 House Election Winner
VA-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
27%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$287 KL.
68%
Republican Party
$513 KL.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 59.5% in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, a battleground with an even partisan lean, reflecting uncertainty from the April 21 voter-approved constitutional amendment enabling mid-decade redistricting. Though court orders have blocked certification, proposed maps would shift Democratic-leaning precincts from the 3rd District, tilting VA-02 leftward and prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report to rate it Lean Democratic. Incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) seeks renomination amid a primary challenge, while Democrats' August 4 primary features well-funded former Rep. Elaine Luria ($2.3 million cash-on-hand) against Nila Devanath and others. Filing deadline looms May 26, with historical close races underscoring competitiveness ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$800Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 59.5% in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, a battleground with an even partisan lean, reflecting uncertainty from the April 21 voter-approved constitutional amendment enabling mid-decade redistricting. Though court orders have blocked certification, proposed maps would shift Democratic-leaning precincts from the 3rd District, tilting VA-02 leftward and prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report to rate it Lean Democratic. Incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) seeks renomination amid a primary challenge, while Democrats' August 4 primary features well-funded former Rep. Elaine Luria ($2.3 million cash-on-hand) against Nila Devanath and others. Filing deadline looms May 26, with historical close races underscoring competitiveness ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$800Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 59.5% in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, a battleground with an even partisan lean, reflecting uncertainty from the April 21 voter-approved constitutional amendment enabling mid-decade redistricting. Though court orders have blocked certification, proposed maps would shift Democratic-leaning precincts from the 3rd District, tilting VA-02 leftward and prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report to rate it Lean Democratic. Incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) seeks renomination amid a primary challenge, while Democrats' August 4 primary features well-funded former Rep. Elaine Luria ($2.3 million cash-on-hand) against Nila Devanath and others. Filing deadline looms May 26, with historical close races underscoring competitiveness ahead of November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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