Incumbent Lauren Boebert holds a structural edge in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+9 partisan voting index, which underpins the 67 percent Republican probability priced by traders. Her 2024 general-election victory by 12 points and ongoing primary positioning reinforce incumbency advantages in a district spanning rural eastern plains and suburban areas. Recent consolidation in the Democratic primary, with Eileen Laubacher emerging as the uncontested June 30 nominee after fundraising over $8 million, has clarified the general-election matchup but has not shifted the underlying partisan tilt. A March poll showing Republicans ahead 47-37 among likely voters aligns with historical base rates for retention in similar districts ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCO-04 House Election Winner
CO-04 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
67%
Democratic Party
32%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,309 KL.
67%
Democratic Party
$640 KL.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Lauren Boebert holds a structural edge in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+9 partisan voting index, which underpins the 67 percent Republican probability priced by traders. Her 2024 general-election victory by 12 points and ongoing primary positioning reinforce incumbency advantages in a district spanning rural eastern plains and suburban areas. Recent consolidation in the Democratic primary, with Eileen Laubacher emerging as the uncontested June 30 nominee after fundraising over $8 million, has clarified the general-election matchup but has not shifted the underlying partisan tilt. A March poll showing Republicans ahead 47-37 among likely voters aligns with historical base rates for retention in similar districts ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,950Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Lauren Boebert holds a structural edge in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+9 partisan voting index, which underpins the 67 percent Republican probability priced by traders. Her 2024 general-election victory by 12 points and ongoing primary positioning reinforce incumbency advantages in a district spanning rural eastern plains and suburban areas. Recent consolidation in the Democratic primary, with Eileen Laubacher emerging as the uncontested June 30 nominee after fundraising over $8 million, has clarified the general-election matchup but has not shifted the underlying partisan tilt. A March poll showing Republicans ahead 47-37 among likely voters aligns with historical base rates for retention in similar districts ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$7,950Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Lauren Boebert holds a structural edge in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+9 partisan voting index, which underpins the 67 percent Republican probability priced by traders. Her 2024 general-election victory by 12 points and ongoing primary positioning reinforce incumbency advantages in a district spanning rural eastern plains and suburban areas. Recent consolidation in the Democratic primary, with Eileen Laubacher emerging as the uncontested June 30 nominee after fundraising over $8 million, has clarified the general-election matchup but has not shifted the underlying partisan tilt. A March poll showing Republicans ahead 47-37 among likely voters aligns with historical base rates for retention in similar districts ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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