The district's strong Republican tilt and Lauren Boebert's incumbency underpin the 63.5% Republican probability in this 2026 House race, though Democratic efforts narrow the margin to 37.5%. The 4th District covers rural Eastern Plains areas plus growing southern Denver suburbs like Douglas County, where partisan shifts have drawn national attention. Both nominees advanced unopposed through June primaries, setting up a general election contest that Cook Political Report rates as solidly Republican. The DCCC has prioritized the seat, citing Boebert's prior underperformance and Eileen Laubacher's fundraising edge—over $3 million cash on hand versus Boebert's roughly $250,000. These factors reflect trader consensus on the balance between structural advantage and targeted opposition.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCO-04 House Election Winner
CO-04 House Election Winner
$11,022 KL.
$11,022 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
38%
$11,022 KL.
$11,022 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,906 KL.
64%
Democratic Party
$2,116 KL.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican tilt and Lauren Boebert's incumbency underpin the 63.5% Republican probability in this 2026 House race, though Democratic efforts narrow the margin to 37.5%. The 4th District covers rural Eastern Plains areas plus growing southern Denver suburbs like Douglas County, where partisan shifts have drawn national attention. Both nominees advanced unopposed through June primaries, setting up a general election contest that Cook Political Report rates as solidly Republican. The DCCC has prioritized the seat, citing Boebert's prior underperformance and Eileen Laubacher's fundraising edge—over $3 million cash on hand versus Boebert's roughly $250,000. These factors reflect trader consensus on the balance between structural advantage and targeted opposition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,022Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican tilt and Lauren Boebert's incumbency underpin the 63.5% Republican probability in this 2026 House race, though Democratic efforts narrow the margin to 37.5%. The 4th District covers rural Eastern Plains areas plus growing southern Denver suburbs like Douglas County, where partisan shifts have drawn national attention. Both nominees advanced unopposed through June primaries, setting up a general election contest that Cook Political Report rates as solidly Republican. The DCCC has prioritized the seat, citing Boebert's prior underperformance and Eileen Laubacher's fundraising edge—over $3 million cash on hand versus Boebert's roughly $250,000. These factors reflect trader consensus on the balance between structural advantage and targeted opposition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,022Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Republican tilt and Lauren Boebert's incumbency underpin the 63.5% Republican probability in this 2026 House race, though Democratic efforts narrow the margin to 37.5%. The 4th District covers rural Eastern Plains areas plus growing southern Denver suburbs like Douglas County, where partisan shifts have drawn national attention. Both nominees advanced unopposed through June primaries, setting up a general election contest that Cook Political Report rates as solidly Republican. The DCCC has prioritized the seat, citing Boebert's prior underperformance and Eileen Laubacher's fundraising edge—over $3 million cash on hand versus Boebert's roughly $250,000. These factors reflect trader consensus on the balance between structural advantage and targeted opposition.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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