Incumbent Democratic Rep. Betty McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, which covers much of Saint Paul and surrounding areas in Ramsey County and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18. All major forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest against Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom, who prevailed in his lower-turnout primary. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including McCollum's 67.6% share in 2024, combined with the absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments since the primaries, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or national political realignment exceeding historical norms for this district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$21,291 KL.
$21,291 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$21,291 KL.
$21,291 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,902 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$17,390 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Betty McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, which covers much of Saint Paul and surrounding areas in Ramsey County and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18. All major forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest against Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom, who prevailed in his lower-turnout primary. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including McCollum's 67.6% share in 2024, combined with the absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments since the primaries, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or national political realignment exceeding historical norms for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,291Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Betty McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, which covers much of Saint Paul and surrounding areas in Ramsey County and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18. All major forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest against Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom, who prevailed in his lower-turnout primary. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including McCollum's 67.6% share in 2024, combined with the absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments since the primaries, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or national political realignment exceeding historical norms for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$21,291Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Betty McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, which covers much of Saint Paul and surrounding areas in Ramsey County and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18. All major forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest against Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom, who prevailed in his lower-turnout primary. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including McCollum's 67.6% share in 2024, combined with the absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments since the primaries, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or national political realignment exceeding historical norms for this district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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