**Incumbent Republican Rep. Michelle Fischbach commands 90.5% trader consensus to retain Minnesota's 7th Congressional District due to its status as the state's most conservative seat—R+18 lean with Trump prevailing by 36 points in 2024—and her securing the GOP endorsement on April 25 following a competitive district convention.** Democrat Erik Osberg earned the DFL endorsement days later with 65% on the first ballot, but faces formidable incumbency advantages and partisan math in this safe Republican stronghold per Cook Political ratings. Primaries loom on August 11, with minimal challengers anticipated. Realistic disruptions would demand a late scandal, legal challenge, health event for Fischbach, or seismic national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-07 House Election Winner
MN-07 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$727 KL.
91%
Democratic Party
$3,891 KL.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Rep. Michelle Fischbach commands 90.5% trader consensus to retain Minnesota's 7th Congressional District due to its status as the state's most conservative seat—R+18 lean with Trump prevailing by 36 points in 2024—and her securing the GOP endorsement on April 25 following a competitive district convention.** Democrat Erik Osberg earned the DFL endorsement days later with 65% on the first ballot, but faces formidable incumbency advantages and partisan math in this safe Republican stronghold per Cook Political ratings. Primaries loom on August 11, with minimal challengers anticipated. Realistic disruptions would demand a late scandal, legal challenge, health event for Fischbach, or seismic national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,618Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Rep. Michelle Fischbach commands 90.5% trader consensus to retain Minnesota's 7th Congressional District due to its status as the state's most conservative seat—R+18 lean with Trump prevailing by 36 points in 2024—and her securing the GOP endorsement on April 25 following a competitive district convention.** Democrat Erik Osberg earned the DFL endorsement days later with 65% on the first ballot, but faces formidable incumbency advantages and partisan math in this safe Republican stronghold per Cook Political ratings. Primaries loom on August 11, with minimal challengers anticipated. Realistic disruptions would demand a late scandal, legal challenge, health event for Fischbach, or seismic national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$4,618Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Rep. Michelle Fischbach commands 90.5% trader consensus to retain Minnesota's 7th Congressional District due to its status as the state's most conservative seat—R+18 lean with Trump prevailing by 36 points in 2024—and her securing the GOP endorsement on April 25 following a competitive district convention.** Democrat Erik Osberg earned the DFL endorsement days later with 65% on the first ballot, but faces formidable incumbency advantages and partisan math in this safe Republican stronghold per Cook Political ratings. Primaries loom on August 11, with minimal challengers anticipated. Realistic disruptions would demand a late scandal, legal challenge, health event for Fischbach, or seismic national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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