Moonshot AI's July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts large language model with a 1M-token context window, native vision, and open weights—has anchored trader expectations for the next K-series release. The company followed K2.6 in April and K2.7 Code in June with rapid iteration, positioning K3 competitively on benchmarks like Artificial Analysis and Arena's frontend coding leaderboard while offering lower inference costs than leading U.S. closed models. Recent accusations from Anthropic regarding potential distillation of Claude responses add regulatory and reputational uncertainty. Compute constraints that paused new subscriptions post-launch, combined with Moonshot's funding momentum, highlight scaling challenges that could influence the timeline for any K4 announcement or public availability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$16,544 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
September 15, 2026
2%
September 30, 2026
59%
December 31, 2026
99%
$16,544 KL.
September 15, 2026
$1,947 KL.
2%
September 30, 2026
$10,482 KL.
59%
December 31, 2026
$2,188 KL.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts large language model with a 1M-token context window, native vision, and open weights—has anchored trader expectations for the next K-series release. The company followed K2.6 in April and K2.7 Code in June with rapid iteration, positioning K3 competitively on benchmarks like Artificial Analysis and Arena's frontend coding leaderboard while offering lower inference costs than leading U.S. closed models. Recent accusations from Anthropic regarding potential distillation of Claude responses add regulatory and reputational uncertainty. Compute constraints that paused new subscriptions post-launch, combined with Moonshot's funding momentum, highlight scaling challenges that could influence the timeline for any K4 announcement or public availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,544Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts large language model with a 1M-token context window, native vision, and open weights—has anchored trader expectations for the next K-series release. The company followed K2.6 in April and K2.7 Code in June with rapid iteration, positioning K3 competitively on benchmarks like Artificial Analysis and Arena's frontend coding leaderboard while offering lower inference costs than leading U.S. closed models. Recent accusations from Anthropic regarding potential distillation of Claude responses add regulatory and reputational uncertainty. Compute constraints that paused new subscriptions post-launch, combined with Moonshot's funding momentum, highlight scaling challenges that could influence the timeline for any K4 announcement or public availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$16,544Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI's July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts large language model with a 1M-token context window, native vision, and open weights—has anchored trader expectations for the next K-series release. The company followed K2.6 in April and K2.7 Code in June with rapid iteration, positioning K3 competitively on benchmarks like Artificial Analysis and Arena's frontend coding leaderboard while offering lower inference costs than leading U.S. closed models. Recent accusations from Anthropic regarding potential distillation of Claude responses add regulatory and reputational uncertainty. Compute constraints that paused new subscriptions post-launch, combined with Moonshot's funding momentum, highlight scaling challenges that could influence the timeline for any K4 announcement or public availability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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