Polymarket traders are pricing a 72% implied probability for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap to exceed $800 billion—aligning closely with its $852 billion post-money private valuation from the March 2026 funding round—while assigning 60% odds above $1 trillion amid $25 billion annualized revenue run-rate. Recent Wall Street Journal reporting on May 2 revealed CFO Sarah Friar privately urging a delay from late 2026 to 2027, citing missed internal user growth and revenue targets alongside $600 billion in compute commitments and surging cash burn projected at $17 billion for 2026. No S-1 filing has surfaced, with competitive pressures from Anthropic and Google DeepMind adding uncertainty; key catalysts include potential SEC registration, Musk litigation resolution, and Q2 enterprise metrics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,488,574 KL.
$1,488,574 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
800 tỷ đô
72%
1 nghìn tỷ đô la
60%
1,2 nghìn tỷ đô la
57%
1,4 nghìn tỷ đô
55%
$1,6 nghìn tỷ
53%
$1,488,574 KL.
$1,488,574 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
800 tỷ đô
$95,679 KL.
72%
1 nghìn tỷ đô la
$1,041,440 KL.
60%
1,2 nghìn tỷ đô la
$247,610 KL.
57%
1,4 nghìn tỷ đô
$59,613 KL.
55%
$1,6 nghìn tỷ
$44,232 KL.
53%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.Polymarket traders are pricing a 72% implied probability for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap to exceed $800 billion—aligning closely with its $852 billion post-money private valuation from the March 2026 funding round—while assigning 60% odds above $1 trillion amid $25 billion annualized revenue run-rate. Recent Wall Street Journal reporting on May 2 revealed CFO Sarah Friar privately urging a delay from late 2026 to 2027, citing missed internal user growth and revenue targets alongside $600 billion in compute commitments and surging cash burn projected at $17 billion for 2026. No S-1 filing has surfaced, with competitive pressures from Anthropic and Google DeepMind adding uncertainty; key catalysts include potential SEC registration, Musk litigation resolution, and Q2 enterprise metrics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Thị trường mở: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,488,574Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.Polymarket traders are pricing a 72% implied probability for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap to exceed $800 billion—aligning closely with its $852 billion post-money private valuation from the March 2026 funding round—while assigning 60% odds above $1 trillion amid $25 billion annualized revenue run-rate. Recent Wall Street Journal reporting on May 2 revealed CFO Sarah Friar privately urging a delay from late 2026 to 2027, citing missed internal user growth and revenue targets alongside $600 billion in compute commitments and surging cash burn projected at $17 billion for 2026. No S-1 filing has surfaced, with competitive pressures from Anthropic and Google DeepMind adding uncertainty; key catalysts include potential SEC registration, Musk litigation resolution, and Q2 enterprise metrics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Khối lượng
$1,488,574Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 72% implied probability for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap to exceed $800 billion—aligning closely with its $852 billion post-money private valuation from the March 2026 funding round—while assigning 60% odds above $1 trillion amid $25 billion annualized revenue run-rate. Recent Wall Street Journal reporting on May 2 revealed CFO Sarah Friar privately urging a delay from late 2026 to 2027, citing missed internal user growth and revenue targets alongside $600 billion in compute commitments and surging cash burn projected at $17 billion for 2026. No S-1 filing has surfaced, with competitive pressures from Anthropic and Google DeepMind adding uncertainty; key catalysts include potential SEC registration, Musk litigation resolution, and Q2 enterprise metrics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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