OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for a late-2026 or early-2027 listing near or above $1 trillion. Strong institutional demand for AI exposure, evidenced by participation from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports premium pricing, while revenue run rates approaching $20 billion contrast with projected 2026 losses exceeding $14 billion and breakeven not anticipated until 2029–2030. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside comparable IPO benchmarks such as SpaceX, with upcoming catalysts including SEC review timelines, macroeconomic conditions affecting tech multiples, and any pre-IPO tender offers that could reset the reference valuation before the closing market cap is determined.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,509,625 KL.
$1,509,625 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
$800B
84%
$1T
70%
$1.2T
67%
$1.4T
34%
$1.6T
28%
$1,509,625 KL.
$1,509,625 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
$800B
$102,327 KL.
84%
$1T
$1,045,828 KL.
70%
$1.2T
$248,573 KL.
67%
$1.4T
$65,435 KL.
34%
$1.6T
$47,462 KL.
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for a late-2026 or early-2027 listing near or above $1 trillion. Strong institutional demand for AI exposure, evidenced by participation from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports premium pricing, while revenue run rates approaching $20 billion contrast with projected 2026 losses exceeding $14 billion and breakeven not anticipated until 2029–2030. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside comparable IPO benchmarks such as SpaceX, with upcoming catalysts including SEC review timelines, macroeconomic conditions affecting tech multiples, and any pre-IPO tender offers that could reset the reference valuation before the closing market cap is determined.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Thị trường mở: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,509,625Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for a late-2026 or early-2027 listing near or above $1 trillion. Strong institutional demand for AI exposure, evidenced by participation from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports premium pricing, while revenue run rates approaching $20 billion contrast with projected 2026 losses exceeding $14 billion and breakeven not anticipated until 2029–2030. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside comparable IPO benchmarks such as SpaceX, with upcoming catalysts including SEC review timelines, macroeconomic conditions affecting tech multiples, and any pre-IPO tender offers that could reset the reference valuation before the closing market cap is determined.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Khối lượng
$1,509,625Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for a late-2026 or early-2027 listing near or above $1 trillion. Strong institutional demand for AI exposure, evidenced by participation from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports premium pricing, while revenue run rates approaching $20 billion contrast with projected 2026 losses exceeding $14 billion and breakeven not anticipated until 2029–2030. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside comparable IPO benchmarks such as SpaceX, with upcoming catalysts including SEC review timelines, macroeconomic conditions affecting tech multiples, and any pre-IPO tender offers that could reset the reference valuation before the closing market cap is determined.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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