Pierre Poilievre secured a decisive 87.4% endorsement in the Conservative Party’s mandatory leadership review at the January 2026 national convention in Calgary, following the party’s April 2025 federal election defeat. This strong internal backing, which exceeded Stephen Harper’s comparable 2005 result, has stabilized his position as leader amid ongoing polling deficits against Prime Minister Mark Carney and lower personal approval ratings. With the next scheduled election not due until 2029 and no active challenges or constitutional triggers emerging in the first half of 2026, trader consensus assigns an 87.5% probability that Poilievre will remain in place through December 31, 2026. Recent surveys continue to highlight competitive dynamics within the party base, yet the absence of imminent procedural or caucus-driven pressure supports expectations of continuity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$148,679 KL.
$148,679 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$148,679 KL.
$148,679 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pierre Poilievre secured a decisive 87.4% endorsement in the Conservative Party’s mandatory leadership review at the January 2026 national convention in Calgary, following the party’s April 2025 federal election defeat. This strong internal backing, which exceeded Stephen Harper’s comparable 2005 result, has stabilized his position as leader amid ongoing polling deficits against Prime Minister Mark Carney and lower personal approval ratings. With the next scheduled election not due until 2029 and no active challenges or constitutional triggers emerging in the first half of 2026, trader consensus assigns an 87.5% probability that Poilievre will remain in place through December 31, 2026. Recent surveys continue to highlight competitive dynamics within the party base, yet the absence of imminent procedural or caucus-driven pressure supports expectations of continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$148,679Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pierre Poilievre secured a decisive 87.4% endorsement in the Conservative Party’s mandatory leadership review at the January 2026 national convention in Calgary, following the party’s April 2025 federal election defeat. This strong internal backing, which exceeded Stephen Harper’s comparable 2005 result, has stabilized his position as leader amid ongoing polling deficits against Prime Minister Mark Carney and lower personal approval ratings. With the next scheduled election not due until 2029 and no active challenges or constitutional triggers emerging in the first half of 2026, trader consensus assigns an 87.5% probability that Poilievre will remain in place through December 31, 2026. Recent surveys continue to highlight competitive dynamics within the party base, yet the absence of imminent procedural or caucus-driven pressure supports expectations of continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$148,679Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pierre Poilievre secured a decisive 87.4% endorsement in the Conservative Party’s mandatory leadership review at the January 2026 national convention in Calgary, following the party’s April 2025 federal election defeat. This strong internal backing, which exceeded Stephen Harper’s comparable 2005 result, has stabilized his position as leader amid ongoing polling deficits against Prime Minister Mark Carney and lower personal approval ratings. With the next scheduled election not due until 2029 and no active challenges or constitutional triggers emerging in the first half of 2026, trader consensus assigns an 87.5% probability that Poilievre will remain in place through December 31, 2026. Recent surveys continue to highlight competitive dynamics within the party base, yet the absence of imminent procedural or caucus-driven pressure supports expectations of continuity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp