**The market's heavy weighting toward a sub-$4.5 million domestic opening for The Uprising reflects its positioning as a mid-September prestige historical drama rather than a wide-appeal event title.** Focus Features is launching the Paul Greengrass-directed film, starring Andrew Garfield as a leader of the 1381 Peasants' Revolt, with no critic reviews or significant presale momentum reported ahead of its September 10–11 debut. Traders appear to be pricing in typical early-fall challenges for period pieces—modest awareness outside core audiences, R-rated content, and competition from holdovers—while Garfield's name and Greengrass's track record provide a floor but not breakout potential. The clustered probabilities in the mid-range buckets further signal uncertainty around exact tracking, with the sub-$4.5 million outcome favored until opening-day data or early audience metrics arrive.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật"The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office
<4.5m 55%
4.5-5.5m 25%
6.5-7.5m 25%
7.5m+ 25%
<4.5m
55%
4.5-5.5m
25%
5.5-6.5m
25%
6.5-7.5m
25%
7.5m+
25%
<4.5m 55%
4.5-5.5m 25%
6.5-7.5m 25%
7.5m+ 25%
<4.5m
55%
4.5-5.5m
25%
5.5-6.5m
25%
6.5-7.5m
25%
7.5m+
25%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**The market's heavy weighting toward a sub-$4.5 million domestic opening for The Uprising reflects its positioning as a mid-September prestige historical drama rather than a wide-appeal event title.** Focus Features is launching the Paul Greengrass-directed film, starring Andrew Garfield as a leader of the 1381 Peasants' Revolt, with no critic reviews or significant presale momentum reported ahead of its September 10–11 debut. Traders appear to be pricing in typical early-fall challenges for period pieces—modest awareness outside core audiences, R-rated content, and competition from holdovers—while Garfield's name and Greengrass's track record provide a floor but not breakout potential. The clustered probabilities in the mid-range buckets further signal uncertainty around exact tracking, with the sub-$4.5 million outcome favored until opening-day data or early audience metrics arrive.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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