**Recent U.S. statements signal intensified economic pressure on Iran following the expiration of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding’s 60-day negotiation window, yet no new executive order has been issued or confirmed ahead of the August 28 deadline.** President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced on August 19–20 that the administration plans “the toughest sanctions in history” and an “economic D-Day,” including potential secondary sanctions on third-country entities providing lifelines to Iran. These comments build on prior actions such as the February 2026 Executive Order addressing threats from Iran, multiple OFAC designations targeting oil networks and shadow banking, and the short-lived General License X that authorized limited Iranian oil transactions through August 21 before revocation. The current approach emphasizes enforcement through existing authorities, naval measures, and targeted designations rather than an immediate new presidential executive order. With the deadline only days away and no formal announcement or draft order reported, traders assign a modest edge to the “No” outcome at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting the distinction between rhetorical escalation and the procedural steps required for a standalone EO. Upcoming Treasury briefings and any rapid diplomatic or military developments could still influence timing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật44% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
44% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs or issues an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum authorizing or ordering new sanctions on Iran by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent U.S. statements signal intensified economic pressure on Iran following the expiration of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding’s 60-day negotiation window, yet no new executive order has been issued or confirmed ahead of the August 28 deadline.**
President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced on August 19–20 that the administration plans “the toughest sanctions in history” and an “economic D-Day,” including potential secondary sanctions on third-country entities providing lifelines to Iran. These comments build on prior actions such as the February 2026 Executive Order addressing threats from Iran, multiple OFAC designations targeting oil networks and shadow banking, and the short-lived General License X that authorized limited Iranian oil transactions through August 21 before revocation.
The current approach emphasizes enforcement through existing authorities, naval measures, and targeted designations rather than an immediate new presidential executive order. With the deadline only days away and no formal announcement or draft order reported, traders assign a modest edge to the “No” outcome at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting the distinction between rhetorical escalation and the procedural steps required for a standalone EO.
Upcoming Treasury briefings and any rapid diplomatic or military developments could still influence timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs or issues an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum authorizing or ordering new sanctions on Iran by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs or issues an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum authorizing or ordering new sanctions on Iran by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent U.S. statements signal intensified economic pressure on Iran following the expiration of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding’s 60-day negotiation window, yet no new executive order has been issued or confirmed ahead of the August 28 deadline.**
President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced on August 19–20 that the administration plans “the toughest sanctions in history” and an “economic D-Day,” including potential secondary sanctions on third-country entities providing lifelines to Iran. These comments build on prior actions such as the February 2026 Executive Order addressing threats from Iran, multiple OFAC designations targeting oil networks and shadow banking, and the short-lived General License X that authorized limited Iranian oil transactions through August 21 before revocation.
The current approach emphasizes enforcement through existing authorities, naval measures, and targeted designations rather than an immediate new presidential executive order. With the deadline only days away and no formal announcement or draft order reported, traders assign a modest edge to the “No” outcome at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting the distinction between rhetorical escalation and the procedural steps required for a standalone EO.
Upcoming Treasury briefings and any rapid diplomatic or military developments could still influence timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs or issues an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum authorizing or ordering new sanctions on Iran by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent U.S. statements signal intensified economic pressure on Iran following the expiration of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding’s 60-day negotiation window, yet no new executive order has been issued or confirmed ahead of the August 28 deadline.** President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced on August 19–20 that the administration plans “the toughest sanctions in history” and an “economic D-Day,” including potential secondary sanctions on third-country entities providing lifelines to Iran. These comments build on prior actions such as the February 2026 Executive Order addressing threats from Iran, multiple OFAC designations targeting oil networks and shadow banking, and the short-lived General License X that authorized limited Iranian oil transactions through August 21 before revocation. The current approach emphasizes enforcement through existing authorities, naval measures, and targeted designations rather than an immediate new presidential executive order. With the deadline only days away and no formal announcement or draft order reported, traders assign a modest edge to the “No” outcome at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting the distinction between rhetorical escalation and the procedural steps required for a standalone EO. Upcoming Treasury briefings and any rapid diplomatic or military developments could still influence timing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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