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Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

icon for Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

$14,237 KL.

May 22, 2026
Polymarket

$14,237 KL.

Polymarket

Tariff Reduction

$6,694 KL.

72%

U.S.-China AI Safety Channel

$153 KL.

47%

Detained Americans Release

$679 KL.

32%

US-China Board of Trade

$724 KL.

50%

Taiwan Arms Sales Halt

$1,633 KL.

9%

AI Export Restrictions Relief

$2,687 KL.

54%

New Sanctions

$1,667 KL.

4%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution. Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a U.S.-China AI safety channel between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "U.S.-China AI safety channel" refers to the establishment of a communication channel, dialogue, or alternative formal communication mechanism between China and the United States concerning AI safety, AI risk, AI governance, or equivalent issues. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a halt, suspension, cancellation, or prohibition on any arms sales or military equipment transfers to Taiwan between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must specifically refer to the transfer of arms, weapons, munitions, military equipment, or substantially equivalent military goods from the United States to Taiwan. A qualifying announcement may apply to all such transfers to Taiwan or only to specified categories of arms, weapons or military equipment. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Halts, suspensions, cancellations, or prohibitions on arms sales or military equipment transfers announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any reduction, suspension, exemption, or other relief from U.S. export restrictions on artificial intelligence chips, advanced computing chips, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, or other AI-related technology exports to China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that US export restrictions on AI-related technologies will be suspended, reduced, exempted, or otherwise substantively relaxed. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Reductions, suspensions, exemptions, or other relief from export restrictions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like new or increased tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Chinese citizens or entities which do not directly target the Chinese state or members of the Chinese government will not qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of when or whether or when the announced sanctions go into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. President Donald Trump departed for Beijing on May 13, 2026, ahead of a scheduled summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, marking his first visit since returning to office and accompanied by tech executives like Elon Musk and Tim Cook. Recent public statements highlight agenda items including trade tariffs, AI export controls, Taiwan arms sales, nuclear proliferation, and U.S. requests for China's assistance in the Iran conflict. Delayed from March, the meeting underscores bilateral tensions and opportunities for de-escalation, with traders anticipating Trump's announcements by May 22 on potential deals or commitments that could shift U.S.-China relations, amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$14,237
Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026
Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution. Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a U.S.-China AI safety channel between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "U.S.-China AI safety channel" refers to the establishment of a communication channel, dialogue, or alternative formal communication mechanism between China and the United States concerning AI safety, AI risk, AI governance, or equivalent issues. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a halt, suspension, cancellation, or prohibition on any arms sales or military equipment transfers to Taiwan between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must specifically refer to the transfer of arms, weapons, munitions, military equipment, or substantially equivalent military goods from the United States to Taiwan. A qualifying announcement may apply to all such transfers to Taiwan or only to specified categories of arms, weapons or military equipment. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Halts, suspensions, cancellations, or prohibitions on arms sales or military equipment transfers announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any reduction, suspension, exemption, or other relief from U.S. export restrictions on artificial intelligence chips, advanced computing chips, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, or other AI-related technology exports to China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that US export restrictions on AI-related technologies will be suspended, reduced, exempted, or otherwise substantively relaxed. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Reductions, suspensions, exemptions, or other relief from export restrictions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like new or increased tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Chinese citizens or entities which do not directly target the Chinese state or members of the Chinese government will not qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of when or whether or when the announced sanctions go into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. President Donald Trump departed for Beijing on May 13, 2026, ahead of a scheduled summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, marking his first visit since returning to office and accompanied by tech executives like Elon Musk and Tim Cook. Recent public statements highlight agenda items including trade tariffs, AI export controls, Taiwan arms sales, nuclear proliferation, and U.S. requests for China's assistance in the Iran conflict. Delayed from March, the meeting underscores bilateral tensions and opportunities for de-escalation, with traders anticipating Trump's announcements by May 22 on potential deals or commitments that could shift U.S.-China relations, amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$14,237
Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026
Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 7 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Tariff Reduction" ở mức 72%, tiếp theo là "AI Export Restrictions Relief" ở mức 55%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 72¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 72% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?" đã tạo $14.2K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào May 11, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?," duyệt 7 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?" là "Tariff Reduction" ở mức 72%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 72% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "AI Export Restrictions Relief" ở mức 55%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.