US President Donald Trump stated on June 11 that negotiators had reached a “great settlement” with Iran, including a proposed 60-day ceasefire extension and memorandum of understanding covering the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear issues, and follow-on talks, while canceling scheduled strikes and previewing that the time and place of a signing would be announced shortly, possibly in Europe as soon as the weekend. Iran’s foreign ministry indicated the proposal remains under review by senior leadership without full confirmation. These statements follow months of indirect and direct talks mediated by Pakistan amid the 2026 Iran conflict, with earlier near-agreements in May stalling over sanctions relief, uranium disposal, and ballistic missile limits. Trader assessments of an imminent location or date announcement therefore hinge on whether Tehran’s approval materializes and whether any last-minute diplomatic or domestic hurdles intervene before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJune 12
48%
June 13
45%
June 14
49%
June 15
47%
$0.00 KL.
June 12
48%
June 13
45%
June 14
49%
June 15
47%
Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count.
Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 11, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count.
Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US President Donald Trump stated on June 11 that negotiators had reached a “great settlement” with Iran, including a proposed 60-day ceasefire extension and memorandum of understanding covering the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear issues, and follow-on talks, while canceling scheduled strikes and previewing that the time and place of a signing would be announced shortly, possibly in Europe as soon as the weekend. Iran’s foreign ministry indicated the proposal remains under review by senior leadership without full confirmation. These statements follow months of indirect and direct talks mediated by Pakistan amid the 2026 Iran conflict, with earlier near-agreements in May stalling over sanctions relief, uranium disposal, and ballistic missile limits. Trader assessments of an imminent location or date announcement therefore hinge on whether Tehran’s approval materializes and whether any last-minute diplomatic or domestic hurdles intervene before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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