Congressional efforts on federal AI safety legislation remain stalled despite committee advances and recent warnings from researchers. Bipartisan House measures from June 2026 advanced technical provisions such as codifying a NIST AI security center and incident reporting, yet none have reached the floor for a vote. Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Sen. Amy Klobuchar, and Sen. Ted Cruz on a duty-of-care standard for catastrophic risks face ongoing divides over liability language, federal preemption of state rules, and enforcement scope. With the House set to adjourn and midterms approaching, lawmakers lack the consensus or calendar time for passage of a qualifying bill by December 31, 2026, leaving trader consensus reflected in the elevated No probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
18% khả năng
$121,488 KL.
$121,488 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
18% khả năng
$121,488 KL.
$121,488 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Congressional efforts on federal AI safety legislation remain stalled despite committee advances and recent warnings from researchers. Bipartisan House measures from June 2026 advanced technical provisions such as codifying a NIST AI security center and incident reporting, yet none have reached the floor for a vote. Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Sen. Amy Klobuchar, and Sen. Ted Cruz on a duty-of-care standard for catastrophic risks face ongoing divides over liability language, federal preemption of state rules, and enforcement scope. With the House set to adjourn and midterms approaching, lawmakers lack the consensus or calendar time for passage of a qualifying bill by December 31, 2026, leaving trader consensus reflected in the elevated No probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$121,488Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Congressional efforts on federal AI safety legislation remain stalled despite committee advances and recent warnings from researchers. Bipartisan House measures from June 2026 advanced technical provisions such as codifying a NIST AI security center and incident reporting, yet none have reached the floor for a vote. Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Sen. Amy Klobuchar, and Sen. Ted Cruz on a duty-of-care standard for catastrophic risks face ongoing divides over liability language, federal preemption of state rules, and enforcement scope. With the House set to adjourn and midterms approaching, lawmakers lack the consensus or calendar time for passage of a qualifying bill by December 31, 2026, leaving trader consensus reflected in the elevated No probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$121,488Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Congressional efforts on federal AI safety legislation remain stalled despite committee advances and recent warnings from researchers. Bipartisan House measures from June 2026 advanced technical provisions such as codifying a NIST AI security center and incident reporting, yet none have reached the floor for a vote. Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Sen. Amy Klobuchar, and Sen. Ted Cruz on a duty-of-care standard for catastrophic risks face ongoing divides over liability language, federal preemption of state rules, and enforcement scope. With the House set to adjourn and midterms approaching, lawmakers lack the consensus or calendar time for passage of a qualifying bill by December 31, 2026, leaving trader consensus reflected in the elevated No probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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