Anthropic holds the market edge on LiveBench Coding through October due to consistent leadership in recent model releases emphasizing advanced reasoning and code generation capabilities. Traders view its latest large language model as outperforming rivals on verifiable benchmarks, outpacing OpenAI's incremental updates amid ongoing competition in the AI sector. Multiple other labs sit near even odds, reflecting uncertainty over whether upcoming releases or fine-tuning could close the gap before resolution. Key catalysts include any new model drops or benchmark refreshes in September that might shift demonstrated performance on complex programming tasks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 57%
OpenAI 37%
DeepSeek 2.1%
Mistral 2.0%

Anthropic
57%

OpenAI
37%

DeepSeek
2%

Mistral
2%

Z.ai
2%

1%

Meta
1%

Amazon
1%

Nvidia
1%

Thinky
1%

MiniMax
1%

Baidu
1%

StepFun
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%
Anthropic 57%
OpenAI 37%
DeepSeek 2.1%
Mistral 2.0%

Anthropic
57%

OpenAI
37%

DeepSeek
2%

Mistral
2%

Z.ai
2%

1%

Meta
1%

Amazon
1%

Nvidia
1%

Thinky
1%

MiniMax
1%

Baidu
1%

StepFun
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the market edge on LiveBench Coding through October due to consistent leadership in recent model releases emphasizing advanced reasoning and code generation capabilities. Traders view its latest large language model as outperforming rivals on verifiable benchmarks, outpacing OpenAI's incremental updates amid ongoing competition in the AI sector. Multiple other labs sit near even odds, reflecting uncertainty over whether upcoming releases or fine-tuning could close the gap before resolution. Key catalysts include any new model drops or benchmark refreshes in September that might shift demonstrated performance on complex programming tasks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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