Anthropic holds overwhelming trader consensus at a 93% implied probability because its latest Claude models have established clear leadership on key coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, while Claude Code has become the preferred agentic tool among developers for multi-file refactoring and autonomous workflows. Recent updates announced at Code with Claude 2026, including multiagent orchestration and improved memory features, have reinforced this edge just weeks before the May resolution. OpenAI and Google trail far behind due to less consistent performance in production coding tasks, though a surprise model release or benchmark jump from either company before month-end could still shift sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 91.4%
OpenAI 2.9%
Google 2.6%
DeepSeek <1%
$35,588 KL.
$35,588 KL.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
91%
OpenAI
3%
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 91.4%
OpenAI 2.9%
Google 2.6%
DeepSeek <1%
$35,588 KL.
$35,588 KL.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$3,964 KL.
91%
OpenAI
$3,057 KL.
3%
$2,860 KL.
3%
DeepSeek
$2,557 KL.
1%
Moonshot
$2,539 KL.
1%
Z.ai
$2,740 KL.
<1%
xAI
$3,265 KL.
<1%
Baidu
$2,480 KL.
<1%
Alibaba
$2,581 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$2,533 KL.
<1%
Meta
$2,719 KL.
<1%
Amazon
$1,058 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$986 KL.
<1%
Meituan
$1,139 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,110 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds overwhelming trader consensus at a 93% implied probability because its latest Claude models have established clear leadership on key coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, while Claude Code has become the preferred agentic tool among developers for multi-file refactoring and autonomous workflows. Recent updates announced at Code with Claude 2026, including multiagent orchestration and improved memory features, have reinforced this edge just weeks before the May resolution. OpenAI and Google trail far behind due to less consistent performance in production coding tasks, though a surprise model release or benchmark jump from either company before month-end could still shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$35,588Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds overwhelming trader consensus at a 93% implied probability because its latest Claude models have established clear leadership on key coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, while Claude Code has become the preferred agentic tool among developers for multi-file refactoring and autonomous workflows. Recent updates announced at Code with Claude 2026, including multiagent orchestration and improved memory features, have reinforced this edge just weeks before the May resolution. OpenAI and Google trail far behind due to less consistent performance in production coding tasks, though a surprise model release or benchmark jump from either company before month-end could still shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Khối lượng
$35,588Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds overwhelming trader consensus at a 93% implied probability because its latest Claude models have established clear leadership on key coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, while Claude Code has become the preferred agentic tool among developers for multi-file refactoring and autonomous workflows. Recent updates announced at Code with Claude 2026, including multiagent orchestration and improved memory features, have reinforced this edge just weeks before the May resolution. OpenAI and Google trail far behind due to less consistent performance in production coding tasks, though a surprise model release or benchmark jump from either company before month-end could still shift sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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