Rebecca Cooke’s victory in the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district has locked in a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, whose 2024 reelection margin was under 3 points in this competitive Driftless Area seat. A June 2026 House Majority PAC poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46, while both candidates have raised substantial funds and drawn national party attention, underscoring the race’s status as one of the cycle’s most contested House contests. Traders appear to assign the Democratic nominee the edge based on the district’s narrow partisan balance, recent polling trends, and historical midterm dynamics favoring the out-party in swing districts. The November general election remains the decisive event for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-03 House Election Winner
WI-03 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
71%
Republican Party
27%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,599 KL.
71%
Republican Party
$1,464 KL.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke’s victory in the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district has locked in a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, whose 2024 reelection margin was under 3 points in this competitive Driftless Area seat. A June 2026 House Majority PAC poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46, while both candidates have raised substantial funds and drawn national party attention, underscoring the race’s status as one of the cycle’s most contested House contests. Traders appear to assign the Democratic nominee the edge based on the district’s narrow partisan balance, recent polling trends, and historical midterm dynamics favoring the out-party in swing districts. The November general election remains the decisive event for market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,063Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke’s victory in the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district has locked in a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, whose 2024 reelection margin was under 3 points in this competitive Driftless Area seat. A June 2026 House Majority PAC poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46, while both candidates have raised substantial funds and drawn national party attention, underscoring the race’s status as one of the cycle’s most contested House contests. Traders appear to assign the Democratic nominee the edge based on the district’s narrow partisan balance, recent polling trends, and historical midterm dynamics favoring the out-party in swing districts. The November general election remains the decisive event for market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$4,063Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Cooke’s victory in the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district has locked in a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, whose 2024 reelection margin was under 3 points in this competitive Driftless Area seat. A June 2026 House Majority PAC poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46, while both candidates have raised substantial funds and drawn national party attention, underscoring the race’s status as one of the cycle’s most contested House contests. Traders appear to assign the Democratic nominee the edge based on the district’s narrow partisan balance, recent polling trends, and historical midterm dynamics favoring the out-party in swing districts. The November general election remains the decisive event for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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