Iranian officials have issued repeated threats to exit the NPT since 2025, particularly after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in 2025 and early 2026, with parliamentary bills prepared to formalize withdrawal alongside suspension of IAEA cooperation. These moves have served primarily as diplomatic leverage amid sanctions snapback concerns, unresolved enrichment disputes, and post-ceasefire negotiations rather than steps toward implementation. No official notification under Article X has been submitted to the United Nations, and Iran has continued participating in IAEA safeguards talks and submitting working papers to the 2026 NPT Review Conference. Traders view formal departure before 2027 as unlikely given the procedural requirements, potential isolation from nuclear suppliers, and preference for retaining NPT framework engagement during ongoing bilateral diplomacy.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
9% khả năng
$364,435 KL.
$364,435 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
9% khả năng
$364,435 KL.
$364,435 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials have issued repeated threats to exit the NPT since 2025, particularly after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in 2025 and early 2026, with parliamentary bills prepared to formalize withdrawal alongside suspension of IAEA cooperation. These moves have served primarily as diplomatic leverage amid sanctions snapback concerns, unresolved enrichment disputes, and post-ceasefire negotiations rather than steps toward implementation. No official notification under Article X has been submitted to the United Nations, and Iran has continued participating in IAEA safeguards talks and submitting working papers to the 2026 NPT Review Conference. Traders view formal departure before 2027 as unlikely given the procedural requirements, potential isolation from nuclear suppliers, and preference for retaining NPT framework engagement during ongoing bilateral diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$364,435Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials have issued repeated threats to exit the NPT since 2025, particularly after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in 2025 and early 2026, with parliamentary bills prepared to formalize withdrawal alongside suspension of IAEA cooperation. These moves have served primarily as diplomatic leverage amid sanctions snapback concerns, unresolved enrichment disputes, and post-ceasefire negotiations rather than steps toward implementation. No official notification under Article X has been submitted to the United Nations, and Iran has continued participating in IAEA safeguards talks and submitting working papers to the 2026 NPT Review Conference. Traders view formal departure before 2027 as unlikely given the procedural requirements, potential isolation from nuclear suppliers, and preference for retaining NPT framework engagement during ongoing bilateral diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$364,435Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian officials have issued repeated threats to exit the NPT since 2025, particularly after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities in 2025 and early 2026, with parliamentary bills prepared to formalize withdrawal alongside suspension of IAEA cooperation. These moves have served primarily as diplomatic leverage amid sanctions snapback concerns, unresolved enrichment disputes, and post-ceasefire negotiations rather than steps toward implementation. No official notification under Article X has been submitted to the United Nations, and Iran has continued participating in IAEA safeguards talks and submitting working papers to the 2026 NPT Review Conference. Traders view formal departure before 2027 as unlikely given the procedural requirements, potential isolation from nuclear suppliers, and preference for retaining NPT framework engagement during ongoing bilateral diplomacy.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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