Iranian officials revived threats to exit the NPT in late March 2026 following U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities, prompting parliamentary lawmakers to introduce fast-tracked legislation for withdrawal, JCPOA repeal, and new partnerships with aligned states. No parliamentary vote or formal notification under Article X has occurred, consistent with repeated rhetorical escalations since 2004 without action. Tehran continues limited IAEA safeguards at unaffected sites, submitted working papers for the 2026 NPT Review Conference, and pursues diplomatic channels amid tensions. These factors, alongside risks of greater isolation and forfeited legal standing for enrichment activities, underpin the strong trader consensus against withdrawal before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$121,662 KL.
$121,662 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$121,662 KL.
$121,662 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials revived threats to exit the NPT in late March 2026 following U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities, prompting parliamentary lawmakers to introduce fast-tracked legislation for withdrawal, JCPOA repeal, and new partnerships with aligned states. No parliamentary vote or formal notification under Article X has occurred, consistent with repeated rhetorical escalations since 2004 without action. Tehran continues limited IAEA safeguards at unaffected sites, submitted working papers for the 2026 NPT Review Conference, and pursues diplomatic channels amid tensions. These factors, alongside risks of greater isolation and forfeited legal standing for enrichment activities, underpin the strong trader consensus against withdrawal before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$121,662Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials revived threats to exit the NPT in late March 2026 following U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities, prompting parliamentary lawmakers to introduce fast-tracked legislation for withdrawal, JCPOA repeal, and new partnerships with aligned states. No parliamentary vote or formal notification under Article X has occurred, consistent with repeated rhetorical escalations since 2004 without action. Tehran continues limited IAEA safeguards at unaffected sites, submitted working papers for the 2026 NPT Review Conference, and pursues diplomatic channels amid tensions. These factors, alongside risks of greater isolation and forfeited legal standing for enrichment activities, underpin the strong trader consensus against withdrawal before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$121,662Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian officials revived threats to exit the NPT in late March 2026 following U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities, prompting parliamentary lawmakers to introduce fast-tracked legislation for withdrawal, JCPOA repeal, and new partnerships with aligned states. No parliamentary vote or formal notification under Article X has occurred, consistent with repeated rhetorical escalations since 2004 without action. Tehran continues limited IAEA safeguards at unaffected sites, submitted working papers for the 2026 NPT Review Conference, and pursues diplomatic channels amid tensions. These factors, alongside risks of greater isolation and forfeited legal standing for enrichment activities, underpin the strong trader consensus against withdrawal before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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