**Former Spanish prime minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces an ongoing pre-trial investigation at Spain’s National Court into alleged influence peddling, criminal organization, and money laundering tied to the 2021 €53 million public bailout of airline Plus Ultra.** He was formally imputed in May 2026, his office was searched, and over 100 pieces of jewelry valued above €1.3 million were seized, prompting a separate line of inquiry into potential tax and smuggling offenses. Zapatero has denied all wrongdoing, testified in June without custodial measures, and continues to challenge investigative steps such as broad bank-account reviews. As of mid-September 2026, the case remains in the instruction phase with no trial opened and no flight-risk restrictions imposed. Spanish judicial timelines for complex corruption matters typically extend years before any potential detention, shaping trader assessments of arrest probability by year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?
$55,907 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
13%
$55,907 KL.
December 31, 2026
$4,750 KL.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Former Spanish prime minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces an ongoing pre-trial investigation at Spain’s National Court into alleged influence peddling, criminal organization, and money laundering tied to the 2021 €53 million public bailout of airline Plus Ultra.** He was formally imputed in May 2026, his office was searched, and over 100 pieces of jewelry valued above €1.3 million were seized, prompting a separate line of inquiry into potential tax and smuggling offenses. Zapatero has denied all wrongdoing, testified in June without custodial measures, and continues to challenge investigative steps such as broad bank-account reviews. As of mid-September 2026, the case remains in the instruction phase with no trial opened and no flight-risk restrictions imposed. Spanish judicial timelines for complex corruption matters typically extend years before any potential detention, shaping trader assessments of arrest probability by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 28, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Khối lượng
$55,907Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 6:23 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Former Spanish prime minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces an ongoing pre-trial investigation at Spain’s National Court into alleged influence peddling, criminal organization, and money laundering tied to the 2021 €53 million public bailout of airline Plus Ultra.** He was formally imputed in May 2026, his office was searched, and over 100 pieces of jewelry valued above €1.3 million were seized, prompting a separate line of inquiry into potential tax and smuggling offenses. Zapatero has denied all wrongdoing, testified in June without custodial measures, and continues to challenge investigative steps such as broad bank-account reviews. As of mid-September 2026, the case remains in the instruction phase with no trial opened and no flight-risk restrictions imposed. Spanish judicial timelines for complex corruption matters typically extend years before any potential detention, shaping trader assessments of arrest probability by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$55,907Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 6:23 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**Former Spanish prime minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces an ongoing pre-trial investigation at Spain’s National Court into alleged influence peddling, criminal organization, and money laundering tied to the 2021 €53 million public bailout of airline Plus Ultra.** He was formally imputed in May 2026, his office was searched, and over 100 pieces of jewelry valued above €1.3 million were seized, prompting a separate line of inquiry into potential tax and smuggling offenses. Zapatero has denied all wrongdoing, testified in June without custodial measures, and continues to challenge investigative steps such as broad bank-account reviews. As of mid-September 2026, the case remains in the instruction phase with no trial opened and no flight-risk restrictions imposed. Spanish judicial timelines for complex corruption matters typically extend years before any potential detention, shaping trader assessments of arrest probability by year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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