Legal scrutiny from the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial and state attorney general probes into alleged self-dealing currently anchors trader consensus at a 74% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive OpenAI equity by June 30. Recent testimony revealed Altman’s more than $2 billion in personal holdings in companies transacting with OpenAI, including Helion Energy and Stripe, heightening conflict concerns just as the company advances toward a potential 2026 IPO. No equity grant has materialized despite earlier board discussions, and internal tensions—such as CFO Sarah Friar’s view that the IPO timeline is aggressive—add uncertainty around compensation decisions. Key near-term catalysts include further trial disclosures or pre-deadline announcements that could shift these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Legal scrutiny from the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial and state attorney general probes into alleged self-dealing currently anchors trader consensus at a 74% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive OpenAI equity by June 30. Recent testimony revealed Altman’s more than $2 billion in personal holdings in companies transacting with OpenAI, including Helion Energy and Stripe, heightening conflict concerns just as the company advances toward a potential 2026 IPO. No equity grant has materialized despite earlier board discussions, and internal tensions—such as CFO Sarah Friar’s view that the IPO timeline is aggressive—add uncertainty around compensation decisions. Key near-term catalysts include further trial disclosures or pre-deadline announcements that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,908Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Legal scrutiny from the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial and state attorney general probes into alleged self-dealing currently anchors trader consensus at a 74% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive OpenAI equity by June 30. Recent testimony revealed Altman’s more than $2 billion in personal holdings in companies transacting with OpenAI, including Helion Energy and Stripe, heightening conflict concerns just as the company advances toward a potential 2026 IPO. No equity grant has materialized despite earlier board discussions, and internal tensions—such as CFO Sarah Friar’s view that the IPO timeline is aggressive—add uncertainty around compensation decisions. Key near-term catalysts include further trial disclosures or pre-deadline announcements that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$4,908Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legal scrutiny from the ongoing Musk v. OpenAI trial and state attorney general probes into alleged self-dealing currently anchors trader consensus at a 74% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive OpenAI equity by June 30. Recent testimony revealed Altman’s more than $2 billion in personal holdings in companies transacting with OpenAI, including Helion Energy and Stripe, heightening conflict concerns just as the company advances toward a potential 2026 IPO. No equity grant has materialized despite earlier board discussions, and internal tensions—such as CFO Sarah Friar’s view that the IPO timeline is aggressive—add uncertainty around compensation decisions. Key near-term catalysts include further trial disclosures or pre-deadline announcements that could shift these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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