Zambia's August 13, 2026, general election features incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema seeking re-election amid roughly 8.7 million registered voters following an extended registration period. Historical presidential turnout has averaged near 57 percent, with recent surveys highlighting polarized economic views and pockets of opposition skepticism over electoral fairness that could dampen participation. Strong UPND support in core areas and high overall confidence in the process among backers support expectations of steady but not exceptional mobilization, while voter apathy and limited opposition momentum remain countervailing pressures. These dynamics align with trader emphasis on the 50-60 percent range as the most probable outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtZambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
50-60% 40%
60-70% 29%
70-80% 17%
<50% 13%
$15,145 KL.
$15,145 KL.
<50%
13%
50-60%
40%
60-70%
22%
70-80%
17%
80%+
9%
50-60% 40%
60-70% 29%
70-80% 17%
<50% 13%
$15,145 KL.
$15,145 KL.
<50%
13%
50-60%
40%
60-70%
22%
70-80%
17%
80%+
9%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Thị trường mở: Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zambia's August 13, 2026, general election features incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema seeking re-election amid roughly 8.7 million registered voters following an extended registration period. Historical presidential turnout has averaged near 57 percent, with recent surveys highlighting polarized economic views and pockets of opposition skepticism over electoral fairness that could dampen participation. Strong UPND support in core areas and high overall confidence in the process among backers support expectations of steady but not exceptional mobilization, while voter apathy and limited opposition momentum remain countervailing pressures. These dynamics align with trader emphasis on the 50-60 percent range as the most probable outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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