Current CDC Travel Health Notices show no active Level 4 advisories, with polio circulation rated at Level 2 across multiple countries and global dengue at Level 1, reflecting controlled transmission risks that fall short of extreme thresholds requiring “Avoid All Travel” guidance. Recent hantavirus cases linked to a cruise ship triggered only the lowest-level emergency activation and targeted clinician alerts, without evidence of sustained community spread or novel pathogen emergence that historically prompts Level 4 escalation. Surveillance data through mid-May 2026 indicate stable epidemiological indicators, with no model projections forecasting uncontrolled outbreaks by year-end. Traders therefore assign high probability to no issuance, consistent with the agency’s criteria that demand confirmed extreme health risks lacking available precautions before raising alerts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$71,475 交易量
$71,475 交易量
是
$71,475 交易量
$71,475 交易量
A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current CDC Travel Health Notices show no active Level 4 advisories, with polio circulation rated at Level 2 across multiple countries and global dengue at Level 1, reflecting controlled transmission risks that fall short of extreme thresholds requiring “Avoid All Travel” guidance. Recent hantavirus cases linked to a cruise ship triggered only the lowest-level emergency activation and targeted clinician alerts, without evidence of sustained community spread or novel pathogen emergence that historically prompts Level 4 escalation. Surveillance data through mid-May 2026 indicate stable epidemiological indicators, with no model projections forecasting uncontrolled outbreaks by year-end. Traders therefore assign high probability to no issuance, consistent with the agency’s criteria that demand confirmed extreme health risks lacking available precautions before raising alerts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions