The dominant market-implied probability of 96.4% for a cumulative U.S. flu hospitalization rate of 85–90 per 100,000 through Week 19 reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the season’s trajectory stabilizing near 85.2 by Week 15, with weekly laboratory-confirmed rates falling to 0.5 per 100,000 amid sharply reduced transmission. Ensemble forecasts from FluSight indicate national hospital admissions will continue declining through late May, adding minimal new cases as activity drops below baseline. Historical patterns for late-spring weeks support limited further accumulation, while the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets aggregates real-capital assessments of these trends. An unexpected late-season resurgence or revised surveillance adjustments could push the final cumulative figure outside 85–90, though current model consensus assigns low likelihood to such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?
85–90 96.0%
<80 1.0%
80–85 1.0%
95–100 <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
<80
1%
80–85
1%
85–90
96%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
1%
85–90 96.0%
<80 1.0%
80–85 1.0%
95–100 <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
<80
$758 交易量
1%
80–85
$2,258 交易量
1%
85–90
$1,135 交易量
96%
90–95
$340 交易量
<1%
95–100
$465 交易量
1%
100+
$381 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The dominant market-implied probability of 96.4% for a cumulative U.S. flu hospitalization rate of 85–90 per 100,000 through Week 19 reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the season’s trajectory stabilizing near 85.2 by Week 15, with weekly laboratory-confirmed rates falling to 0.5 per 100,000 amid sharply reduced transmission. Ensemble forecasts from FluSight indicate national hospital admissions will continue declining through late May, adding minimal new cases as activity drops below baseline. Historical patterns for late-spring weeks support limited further accumulation, while the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets aggregates real-capital assessments of these trends. An unexpected late-season resurgence or revised surveillance adjustments could push the final cumulative figure outside 85–90, though current model consensus assigns low likelihood to such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$5,338結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The dominant market-implied probability of 96.4% for a cumulative U.S. flu hospitalization rate of 85–90 per 100,000 through Week 19 reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the season’s trajectory stabilizing near 85.2 by Week 15, with weekly laboratory-confirmed rates falling to 0.5 per 100,000 amid sharply reduced transmission. Ensemble forecasts from FluSight indicate national hospital admissions will continue declining through late May, adding minimal new cases as activity drops below baseline. Historical patterns for late-spring weeks support limited further accumulation, while the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets aggregates real-capital assessments of these trends. An unexpected late-season resurgence or revised surveillance adjustments could push the final cumulative figure outside 85–90, though current model consensus assigns low likelihood to such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$5,338結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant market-implied probability of 96.4% for a cumulative U.S. flu hospitalization rate of 85–90 per 100,000 through Week 19 reflects CDC FluSurv-NET data showing the season’s trajectory stabilizing near 85.2 by Week 15, with weekly laboratory-confirmed rates falling to 0.5 per 100,000 amid sharply reduced transmission. Ensemble forecasts from FluSight indicate national hospital admissions will continue declining through late May, adding minimal new cases as activity drops below baseline. Historical patterns for late-spring weeks support limited further accumulation, while the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets aggregates real-capital assessments of these trends. An unexpected late-season resurgence or revised surveillance adjustments could push the final cumulative figure outside 85–90, though current model consensus assigns low likelihood to such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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