The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots has become the primary catalyst behind the 55% market-implied probability for the 200h+ outcome. Three units have already completed more than 50 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting with zero failures, far exceeding the initial eight-hour target, thanks to the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller and Helix-02 neural network’s reliable onboard inference at near-human speeds. April’s 24x production ramp to one robot per hour, supported by over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive multi-limb stress testing, has further strengthened expectations for high mean-time-between-failures in real-world warehouse conditions. Lingering uncertainty around long-term gripper durability and periodic autonomous battery swaps keeps the 100-200h and 50-100h brackets at 29.5% and 12.5%, with final resolution on May 21 hinging on whether the stream remains uninterrupted.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於200 小時以上 54%
100-200 小時 32%
50-100小時 13%
$68,624 交易量
$68,624 交易量
2026-05-21
50-100小時
13%
100-200 小時
32%
200 小時以上
54%
200 小時以上 54%
100-200 小時 32%
50-100小時 13%
$68,624 交易量
$68,624 交易量
2026-05-21
50-100小時
$3,774 交易量
13%
100-200 小時
$2,607 交易量
32%
200 小時以上
$10,437 交易量
54%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots has become the primary catalyst behind the 55% market-implied probability for the 200h+ outcome. Three units have already completed more than 50 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting with zero failures, far exceeding the initial eight-hour target, thanks to the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller and Helix-02 neural network’s reliable onboard inference at near-human speeds. April’s 24x production ramp to one robot per hour, supported by over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive multi-limb stress testing, has further strengthened expectations for high mean-time-between-failures in real-world warehouse conditions. Lingering uncertainty around long-term gripper durability and periodic autonomous battery swaps keeps the 100-200h and 50-100h brackets at 29.5% and 12.5%, with final resolution on May 21 hinging on whether the stream remains uninterrupted.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$68,624結束日期
2026-05-21市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots has become the primary catalyst behind the 55% market-implied probability for the 200h+ outcome. Three units have already completed more than 50 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting with zero failures, far exceeding the initial eight-hour target, thanks to the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller and Helix-02 neural network’s reliable onboard inference at near-human speeds. April’s 24x production ramp to one robot per hour, supported by over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive multi-limb stress testing, has further strengthened expectations for high mean-time-between-failures in real-world warehouse conditions. Lingering uncertainty around long-term gripper durability and periodic autonomous battery swaps keeps the 100-200h and 50-100h brackets at 29.5% and 12.5%, with final resolution on May 21 hinging on whether the stream remains uninterrupted.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$68,624結束日期
2026-05-21市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots has become the primary catalyst behind the 55% market-implied probability for the 200h+ outcome. Three units have already completed more than 50 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting with zero failures, far exceeding the initial eight-hour target, thanks to the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller and Helix-02 neural network’s reliable onboard inference at near-human speeds. April’s 24x production ramp to one robot per hour, supported by over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive multi-limb stress testing, has further strengthened expectations for high mean-time-between-failures in real-world warehouse conditions. Lingering uncertainty around long-term gripper durability and periodic autonomous battery swaps keeps the 100-200h and 50-100h brackets at 29.5% and 12.5%, with final resolution on May 21 hinging on whether the stream remains uninterrupted.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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