The dominant market positioning for Anthropic stems from Claude's sustained leadership in coding benchmarks such as SWE-Bench Verified and LiveCodeBench, where its large language models have delivered measurable gains in agentic coding tasks and repository-level reasoning over the past year. Traders see this edge holding through end of May because no competing release from OpenAI, Google, or xAI has yet closed the gap in independent evaluations. Key supporting factors include Anthropic's focus on safe, high-quality training data and iterative model updates that prioritize developer workflows. A late-May launch of a new frontier model from another lab with superior code-generation scores could still shift sentiment, though current development timelines make such an outcome unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?
Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?
Anthropic 92.8%
xAI 3.7%
Google 1.0%
Microsoft <1%
$34,568 交易量
$34,568 交易量
2026-05-31
Anthropic
93%
xAI
4%
1%
Microsoft
1%
Meta
1%
OpenAI
1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 92.8%
xAI 3.7%
Google 1.0%
Microsoft <1%
$34,568 交易量
$34,568 交易量
2026-05-31
Anthropic
$2,550 交易量
93%
xAI
$3,948 交易量
4%
$3,904 交易量
1%
Microsoft
$660 交易量
1%
Meta
$1,207 交易量
1%
OpenAI
$3,777 交易量
1%
Moonshot
$3,486 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$3,451 交易量
<1%
Meituan
$3,476 交易量
<1%
Alibaba
$571 交易量
<1%
ByteDance
$643 交易量
<1%
Z.ai
$1,088 交易量
<1%
Baidu
$2,206 交易量
<1%
Amazon
$3,288 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$313 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.The dominant market positioning for Anthropic stems from Claude's sustained leadership in coding benchmarks such as SWE-Bench Verified and LiveCodeBench, where its large language models have delivered measurable gains in agentic coding tasks and repository-level reasoning over the past year. Traders see this edge holding through end of May because no competing release from OpenAI, Google, or xAI has yet closed the gap in independent evaluations. Key supporting factors include Anthropic's focus on safe, high-quality training data and iterative model updates that prioritize developer workflows. A late-May launch of a new frontier model from another lab with superior code-generation scores could still shift sentiment, though current development timelines make such an outcome unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$34,568結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.The dominant market positioning for Anthropic stems from Claude's sustained leadership in coding benchmarks such as SWE-Bench Verified and LiveCodeBench, where its large language models have delivered measurable gains in agentic coding tasks and repository-level reasoning over the past year. Traders see this edge holding through end of May because no competing release from OpenAI, Google, or xAI has yet closed the gap in independent evaluations. Key supporting factors include Anthropic's focus on safe, high-quality training data and iterative model updates that prioritize developer workflows. A late-May launch of a new frontier model from another lab with superior code-generation scores could still shift sentiment, though current development timelines make such an outcome unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$34,568結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant market positioning for Anthropic stems from Claude's sustained leadership in coding benchmarks such as SWE-Bench Verified and LiveCodeBench, where its large language models have delivered measurable gains in agentic coding tasks and repository-level reasoning over the past year. Traders see this edge holding through end of May because no competing release from OpenAI, Google, or xAI has yet closed the gap in independent evaluations. Key supporting factors include Anthropic's focus on safe, high-quality training data and iterative model updates that prioritize developer workflows. A late-May launch of a new frontier model from another lab with superior code-generation scores could still shift sentiment, though current development timelines make such an outcome unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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