Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates moderate activity levels during the May 11–17 window, with several M5.0+ events reported along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other plate boundaries but no major triggering quakes or widespread aftershock sequences that would push totals higher. Historical weekly averages for M5.5+ earthquakes typically range from 6 to 12, depending on detection thresholds and magnitude revisions in real-time catalogs. The close clustering of trader sentiment around 7 or 8 events reflects this normal variability, as small differences in aftershock counts or late-reported offshore events can shift the final tally before official resolution. Upcoming final USGS catalog updates will clarify any borderline cases near the 5.5 threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
8 33.5%
7 20.0%
9 17.9%
>9 5.0%
$126,970 交易量
$126,970 交易量
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
<1%
7
36%
8
27%
9
11%
>9
5%
8 33.5%
7 20.0%
9 17.9%
>9 5.0%
$126,970 交易量
$126,970 交易量
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
<1%
7
36%
8
27%
9
11%
>9
5%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市場開放時間: May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates moderate activity levels during the May 11–17 window, with several M5.0+ events reported along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other plate boundaries but no major triggering quakes or widespread aftershock sequences that would push totals higher. Historical weekly averages for M5.5+ earthquakes typically range from 6 to 12, depending on detection thresholds and magnitude revisions in real-time catalogs. The close clustering of trader sentiment around 7 or 8 events reflects this normal variability, as small differences in aftershock counts or late-reported offshore events can shift the final tally before official resolution. Upcoming final USGS catalog updates will clarify any borderline cases near the 5.5 threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions