SpaceX maintains a rapid launch cadence driven by ongoing Starlink deployments and the company's first Starship orbital flight test of 2026, scheduled for May 19 from Starbase. As of mid-May, multiple Falcon 9 missions—including the successful CRS-34 resupply to the International Space Station on May 15—have already occurred, with additional Starlink groups and a Globalstar payload targeted for the remaining weeks. Launch windows depend on weather conditions at Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral, booster availability, and FAA approvals, while Starship's expendable configuration introduces technical variables that could shift the final count. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty, with outcomes clustered around 12–13 total missions as new model runs and range availability data emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於12 44%
≤8 36.2%
11 33%
10 20%
≤8
36%
9
15%
10
20%
11
33%
12
44%
13
47%
14 or more
12%
12 44%
≤8 36.2%
11 33%
10 20%
≤8
36%
9
15%
10
20%
11
33%
12
44%
13
47%
14 or more
12%
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX maintains a rapid launch cadence driven by ongoing Starlink deployments and the company's first Starship orbital flight test of 2026, scheduled for May 19 from Starbase. As of mid-May, multiple Falcon 9 missions—including the successful CRS-34 resupply to the International Space Station on May 15—have already occurred, with additional Starlink groups and a Globalstar payload targeted for the remaining weeks. Launch windows depend on weather conditions at Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral, booster availability, and FAA approvals, while Starship's expendable configuration introduces technical variables that could shift the final count. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty, with outcomes clustered around 12–13 total missions as new model runs and range availability data emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions