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icon for 克拉克頓補選:第二名

克拉克頓補選:第二名

icon for 克拉克頓補選:第二名

克拉克頓補選:第二名

Count Binface 97.8%

奈吉爾·法拉奇 1.3%

勞倫斯·福克斯 <1%

約翰·史蒂文斯 <1%

Polymarket

$532,412 交易量

Count Binface 97.8%

奈吉爾·法拉奇 1.3%

勞倫斯·福克斯 <1%

約翰·史蒂文斯 <1%

Polymarket

$532,412 交易量

icon for Count Binface

Count Binface

$431,306 交易量

98%

icon for 奈吉爾·法拉奇

奈吉爾·法拉奇

$43,752 交易量

1%

icon for 勞倫斯·福克斯

勞倫斯·福克斯

$12,573 交易量

1%

icon for 約翰·史蒂文斯

約翰·史蒂文斯

$6,069 交易量

1%

icon for 威廉·克魯斯頓

威廉·克魯斯頓

$8,373 交易量

<1%

icon for Giles Watling

Giles Watling

$3,280 交易量

<1%

icon for Jovan Owusu-Nepaul

Jovan Owusu-Nepaul

$2,857 交易量

<1%

icon for Matthew Bensilum

Matthew Bensilum

$3,829 交易量

<1%

icon for 娜塔莎·奧斯本

娜塔莎·奧斯本

$2,862 交易量

<1%

icon for Tony Mack

Tony Mack

$2,457 交易量

<1%

icon for 安德魯·彭伯頓

安德魯·彭伯頓

$2,954 交易量

<1%

icon for 皮爾斯·科賓

皮爾斯·科賓

$1,873 交易量

<1%

icon for Adham Alkhatip

Adham Alkhatip

$1,839 交易量

<1%

icon for Rees Cowne

Rees Cowne

$2,001 交易量

<1%

icon for Kai Stephens

Kai Stephens

$2,704 交易量

<1%

icon for 盧克·沃利

盧克·沃利

$2,351 交易量

<1%

icon for 帕梅拉·沃爾福德

帕梅拉·沃爾福德

$1,333 交易量

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Major parties including Labour, the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats, and the Greens opted not to field candidates in the 13 August 2026 Clacton by-election, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation as Reform UK MP. This left the incumbent as the only established political figure on the ballot against 33 others, most of them independents or novelty entrants. Count Binface emerged as the clearest focal point for opposition and protest votes, backed by national media coverage and polling showing him on roughly 20% support behind Farage’s 73%. With the remaining field fragmented across dozens of low-profile independents and minor-party candidates, traders view Binface as the near-certain runner-up absent a late surge by any single rival or an unexpected shift in turnout patterns.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
交易量
$532,412
結束日期
2026-08-13
市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Major parties including Labour, the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats, and the Greens opted not to field candidates in the 13 August 2026 Clacton by-election, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation as Reform UK MP. This left the incumbent as the only established political figure on the ballot against 33 others, most of them independents or novelty entrants. Count Binface emerged as the clearest focal point for opposition and protest votes, backed by national media coverage and polling showing him on roughly 20% support behind Farage’s 73%. With the remaining field fragmented across dozens of low-profile independents and minor-party candidates, traders view Binface as the near-certain runner-up absent a late surge by any single rival or an unexpected shift in turnout patterns.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
交易量
$532,412
結束日期
2026-08-13
市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"克拉克頓補選:第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Count Binface" at 98%, followed by "奈吉爾·法拉奇" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "克拉克頓補選:第二名" has generated $532.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "克拉克頓補選:第二名," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "克拉克頓補選:第二名" is "Count Binface" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "奈吉爾·法拉奇" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "克拉克頓補選:第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.