Recent trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume centers on his steady recent pace of roughly 23–25 posts per day, as tracked in the first half of August. This rhythm points to a likely 160–219 total for the coming week, where the three leading buckets sit within a few points of each other and together exceed 59% implied probability. Absent major breaking news, product launches, or political developments that historically drive spikes, the market reflects expectations of continued baseline activity rather than an outlier week. Upward pressure would require sustained high-engagement threads or real-time events, while lower totals hinge on Musk maintaining lighter posting amid travel or focus elsewhere.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於160-179 21%
180-199 21%
200-219 19%
140-159 13%
$86,097 交易量
$86,097 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
13%
160-179
21%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
10%
240-259
7%
260-279
4%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 21%
180-199 21%
200-219 19%
140-159 13%
$86,097 交易量
$86,097 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
13%
160-179
21%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
10%
240-259
7%
260-279
4%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume centers on his steady recent pace of roughly 23–25 posts per day, as tracked in the first half of August. This rhythm points to a likely 160–219 total for the coming week, where the three leading buckets sit within a few points of each other and together exceed 59% implied probability. Absent major breaking news, product launches, or political developments that historically drive spikes, the market reflects expectations of continued baseline activity rather than an outlier week. Upward pressure would require sustained high-engagement threads or real-time events, while lower totals hinge on Musk maintaining lighter posting amid travel or focus elsewhere.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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