Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner with "Liekinheitin" after a standout performance and qualification in yesterday's Semi-final 1 in Vienna, where the duo's live violin spectacle and passionate lyrics on desire ignited jury and televote buzz, extending their commanding market-implied 44% probability. Their UMK national final triumph, bolstered by dominant rehearsal feedback and OGAE fan poll victories, has traders piling in, viewing the entry's high-energy blend as a winner in both jury and public votes. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 14% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 12% hold as key challengers post-rehearsals, but Semi-final 2 tomorrow and Saturday's grand final could spark upsets amid unpredictable voting splits.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
芬蘭 43.9%
希臘 14.0%
丹麥 12.3%
澳洲 5.7%
$158,000,040 交易量
$158,000,040 交易量

芬蘭
44%

希臘
14%

丹麥
12%

澳洲
6%

以色列
5%

法國
5%

羅馬尼亞
4%

義大利
2%

摩爾多瓦
1%

烏克蘭
1%

保加利亞
1%

克羅地亞
1%

馬耳他
1%

瑞典
1%

捷克
1%

賽普勒斯
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

挪威
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

盧森堡
<1%

波蘭
<1%

奧地利
<1%

德國
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

瑞士
<1%

英國
<1%

比利時
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%
芬蘭 43.9%
希臘 14.0%
丹麥 12.3%
澳洲 5.7%
$158,000,040 交易量
$158,000,040 交易量

芬蘭
44%

希臘
14%

丹麥
12%

澳洲
6%

以色列
5%

法國
5%

羅馬尼亞
4%

義大利
2%

摩爾多瓦
1%

烏克蘭
1%

保加利亞
1%

克羅地亞
1%

馬耳他
1%

瑞典
1%

捷克
1%

賽普勒斯
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

挪威
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

盧森堡
<1%

波蘭
<1%

奧地利
<1%

德國
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

瑞士
<1%

英國
<1%

比利時
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner with "Liekinheitin" after a standout performance and qualification in yesterday's Semi-final 1 in Vienna, where the duo's live violin spectacle and passionate lyrics on desire ignited jury and televote buzz, extending their commanding market-implied 44% probability. Their UMK national final triumph, bolstered by dominant rehearsal feedback and OGAE fan poll victories, has traders piling in, viewing the entry's high-energy blend as a winner in both jury and public votes. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 14% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 12% hold as key challengers post-rehearsals, but Semi-final 2 tomorrow and Saturday's grand final could spark upsets amid unpredictable voting splits.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions