**Federal capital gains tax rates have seen no broad reductions through September 2026.** The top long-term rate remains 20 percent plus the 3.8 percent net investment income tax, with inflation-adjusted brackets holding steady. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in 2025 extended and enhanced elements of the 2017 tax law while expanding targeted relief such as Opportunity Zone deferrals and Section 1202 exclusions, yet it left headline rates unchanged. Recent administration discussions of indexing gains or raising the primary residence exclusion have generated proposals but face dim near-term prospects amid a short legislative calendar before the November midterms and competing priorities in Congress. Bipartisan bills to adjust home-sale exclusions remain stalled, reinforcing trader expectations that no general rate cut will occur by year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
10% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
10% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Federal capital gains tax rates have seen no broad reductions through September 2026.** The top long-term rate remains 20 percent plus the 3.8 percent net investment income tax, with inflation-adjusted brackets holding steady. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in 2025 extended and enhanced elements of the 2017 tax law while expanding targeted relief such as Opportunity Zone deferrals and Section 1202 exclusions, yet it left headline rates unchanged. Recent administration discussions of indexing gains or raising the primary residence exclusion have generated proposals but face dim near-term prospects amid a short legislative calendar before the November midterms and competing priorities in Congress. Bipartisan bills to adjust home-sale exclusions remain stalled, reinforcing trader expectations that no general rate cut will occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
交易量
$345結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Federal capital gains tax rates have seen no broad reductions through September 2026.** The top long-term rate remains 20 percent plus the 3.8 percent net investment income tax, with inflation-adjusted brackets holding steady. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in 2025 extended and enhanced elements of the 2017 tax law while expanding targeted relief such as Opportunity Zone deferrals and Section 1202 exclusions, yet it left headline rates unchanged. Recent administration discussions of indexing gains or raising the primary residence exclusion have generated proposals but face dim near-term prospects amid a short legislative calendar before the November midterms and competing priorities in Congress. Bipartisan bills to adjust home-sale exclusions remain stalled, reinforcing trader expectations that no general rate cut will occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains. Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism. The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks will count. Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer's overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$345結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET**Federal capital gains tax rates have seen no broad reductions through September 2026.** The top long-term rate remains 20 percent plus the 3.8 percent net investment income tax, with inflation-adjusted brackets holding steady. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in 2025 extended and enhanced elements of the 2017 tax law while expanding targeted relief such as Opportunity Zone deferrals and Section 1202 exclusions, yet it left headline rates unchanged. Recent administration discussions of indexing gains or raising the primary residence exclusion have generated proposals but face dim near-term prospects amid a short legislative calendar before the November midterms and competing priorities in Congress. Bipartisan bills to adjust home-sale exclusions remain stalled, reinforcing trader expectations that no general rate cut will occur by year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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