Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月14日北京最高溫度？
7月14日北京最高溫度？
34°C 37%
35°C 33%
33°C 16%
36°C 9%
最新
$26,101 交易量
最新
$26,101 交易量
2026-07-14
31°C或以下
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
16%
34°C
37%
35°C
33%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C或更高
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 33%
33°C 16%
36°C 9%
最新
$26,101 交易量
最新
$26,101 交易量
2026-07-14
31°C或以下
$4,158 交易量
1%
32°C
$4,216 交易量
3%
33°C
$2,487 交易量
16%
34°C
$2,447 交易量
37%
35°C
$2,728 交易量
33%
36°C
$2,568 交易量
9%
37°C
$4,238 交易量
2%
38°C
$2,237 交易量
1%
39°C
$591 交易量
<1%
40°C
$231 交易量
<1%
41°C或更高
$201 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$26,101結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,101結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions