Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate afternoon highs for Chengdu on July 8 around 35–37°C under a mix of broken clouds and early thunderstorms, aligning with typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions where topography traps heat and limits ventilation. Trader sentiment clusters near 37–39°C because subtle variations in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of convective showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. High relative humidity further reduces evaporative cooling, while any delay in monsoon-driven rainfall allows greater daytime warming. Model spread and the two-day forecast horizon sustain the closely matched probabilities across these outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 8?
38°C 25%
39°C 19%
37°C 17%
40°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-08
33°C or below
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
9%
36°C
10%
37°C
17%
38°C
25%
39°C
19%
40°C
11%
41°C
5%
42°C
2%
43°C or higher
1%
38°C 25%
39°C 19%
37°C 17%
40°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-08
33°C or below
$25 交易量
1%
34°C
$20 交易量
4%
35°C
$0 交易量
9%
36°C
$0 交易量
10%
37°C
$0 交易量
17%
38°C
$4 交易量
25%
39°C
$0 交易量
19%
40°C
$0 交易量
11%
41°C
$174 交易量
5%
42°C
$39 交易量
2%
43°C or higher
$256 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate afternoon highs for Chengdu on July 8 around 35–37°C under a mix of broken clouds and early thunderstorms, aligning with typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions where topography traps heat and limits ventilation. Trader sentiment clusters near 37–39°C because subtle variations in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of convective showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. High relative humidity further reduces evaporative cooling, while any delay in monsoon-driven rainfall allows greater daytime warming. Model spread and the two-day forecast horizon sustain the closely matched probabilities across these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$517結束日期
2026-07-08市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate afternoon highs for Chengdu on July 8 around 35–37°C under a mix of broken clouds and early thunderstorms, aligning with typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions where topography traps heat and limits ventilation. Trader sentiment clusters near 37–39°C because subtle variations in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of convective showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. High relative humidity further reduces evaporative cooling, while any delay in monsoon-driven rainfall allows greater daytime warming. Model spread and the two-day forecast horizon sustain the closely matched probabilities across these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$517結束日期
2026-07-08市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate afternoon highs for Chengdu on July 8 around 35–37°C under a mix of broken clouds and early thunderstorms, aligning with typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions where topography traps heat and limits ventilation. Trader sentiment clusters near 37–39°C because subtle variations in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of convective showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. High relative humidity further reduces evaporative cooling, while any delay in monsoon-driven rainfall allows greater daytime warming. Model spread and the two-day forecast horizon sustain the closely matched probabilities across these outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions