Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles indicate typical mid-July subtropical high pressure over northern Taiwan, supporting afternoon highs near 34–36 °C on July 6 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thundershowers. Key variables differentiating the closely bunched 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C outcomes include convective timing, which can limit insolation and cap the daily maximum, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heating. Urban heat-island effects and monsoon moisture further elevate baseline readings, while minor model disagreements on wind speed and cloud thickness sustain the tight probability distribution. Updated short-range guidance and observed trends through July 5 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on July 6?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 6?
34°C 28%
36°C 25.4%
35°C 19%
37°C 7.8%
最新
最新
2026-07-06
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
28%
35°C
24%
36°C
25%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
5%
34°C 28%
36°C 25.4%
35°C 19%
37°C 7.8%
最新
最新
2026-07-06
28°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C
$210 交易量
<1%
30°C
$10 交易量
1%
31°C
$32 交易量
2%
32°C
$0 交易量
5%
33°C
$0 交易量
2%
34°C
$191 交易量
28%
35°C
$65 交易量
24%
36°C
$35 交易量
25%
37°C
$4 交易量
8%
38°C or higher
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles indicate typical mid-July subtropical high pressure over northern Taiwan, supporting afternoon highs near 34–36 °C on July 6 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thundershowers. Key variables differentiating the closely bunched 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C outcomes include convective timing, which can limit insolation and cap the daily maximum, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heating. Urban heat-island effects and monsoon moisture further elevate baseline readings, while minor model disagreements on wind speed and cloud thickness sustain the tight probability distribution. Updated short-range guidance and observed trends through July 5 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$543結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles indicate typical mid-July subtropical high pressure over northern Taiwan, supporting afternoon highs near 34–36 °C on July 6 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thundershowers. Key variables differentiating the closely bunched 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C outcomes include convective timing, which can limit insolation and cap the daily maximum, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heating. Urban heat-island effects and monsoon moisture further elevate baseline readings, while minor model disagreements on wind speed and cloud thickness sustain the tight probability distribution. Updated short-range guidance and observed trends through July 5 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$543結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETForecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles indicate typical mid-July subtropical high pressure over northern Taiwan, supporting afternoon highs near 34–36 °C on July 6 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thundershowers. Key variables differentiating the closely bunched 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C outcomes include convective timing, which can limit insolation and cap the daily maximum, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heating. Urban heat-island effects and monsoon moisture further elevate baseline readings, while minor model disagreements on wind speed and cloud thickness sustain the tight probability distribution. Updated short-range guidance and observed trends through July 5 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions