Current forecasts for Shanghai on July 8 center on overnight lows of 25–27°C, driven by the city's subtropical monsoon climate where high humidity and frequent cloud cover after the plum rain season limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather highlights light rain or overcast conditions that suppress diurnal temperature swings, while any clearer skies could allow slight drops toward 24°C or below. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with closely matched probabilities around 26–28°C outcomes capturing the balance between typical July baselines near 25°C and short-term variability from steering patterns or precipitation. Updated regional model runs in the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 8?
27°C 30%
28°C 22%
26°C 21%
29°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
9%
26°C
21%
27°C
30%
28°C
22%
29°C
14%
30°C
14%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 30%
28°C 22%
26°C 21%
29°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
9%
26°C
21%
27°C
30%
28°C
22%
29°C
14%
30°C
14%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Shanghai on July 8 center on overnight lows of 25–27°C, driven by the city's subtropical monsoon climate where high humidity and frequent cloud cover after the plum rain season limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather highlights light rain or overcast conditions that suppress diurnal temperature swings, while any clearer skies could allow slight drops toward 24°C or below. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with closely matched probabilities around 26–28°C outcomes capturing the balance between typical July baselines near 25°C and short-term variability from steering patterns or precipitation. Updated regional model runs in the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions