Recent ensemble forecasts and ongoing East Asian summer monsoon influences drive the closely matched market odds around 30–32°C as the likely highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 8. Persistent moisture and cloud cover from monsoon flows limit intense solar heating and promote scattered showers or thunderstorms, moderating peak readings relative to drier climatological baselines of 32–33°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, wind patterns, and precipitation timing, with official station data resolving exact maxima under standardized protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 8?
31°C 24%
32°C 21%
30°C 20%
33°C 19%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
20%
31°C
24%
32°C
21%
33°C
19%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 24%
32°C 21%
30°C 20%
33°C 19%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
20%
31°C
24%
32°C
21%
33°C
19%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts and ongoing East Asian summer monsoon influences drive the closely matched market odds around 30–32°C as the likely highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 8. Persistent moisture and cloud cover from monsoon flows limit intense solar heating and promote scattered showers or thunderstorms, moderating peak readings relative to drier climatological baselines of 32–33°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, wind patterns, and precipitation timing, with official station data resolving exact maxima under standardized protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions