**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies currently indicate daytime highs in Chengdu centered around 35–38 °C for July 9, 2026, with scattered showers or variable cloud cover the main source of uncertainty.** This distribution aligns with the market-implied odds peaking at 38 °C (29.5 %) and clustering between 36–39 °C, reflecting trader consensus on typical midsummer conditions in the Sichuan Basin where humidity and monsoon influences often cap extremes. Recent early-July observations show persistent heat with highs frequently reaching 34–36 °C amid high humidity (70–80 %) and afternoon thunderstorms that can limit solar heating. Historical July climatology for Chengdu places average daily maxima near 30–32 °C, but recent years have seen more frequent 35 °C+ readings due to broader warming trends. Key variables modulating the exact peak include the timing and coverage of convective clouds or rain (which lower maxima by 2–4 °C), local wind patterns affecting advection, and precise measurement at the official urban station versus surrounding areas. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours, particularly refinements to precipitation timing, will likely drive the largest shifts in these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 9?
37°C 28%
38°C 27%
39°C 17%
36°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-09
31°C or below
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
7%
36°C
15%
37°C
28%
38°C
27%
39°C
17%
40°C
8%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 28%
38°C 27%
39°C 17%
36°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-09
31°C or below
$284 交易量
1%
32°C
$122 交易量
<1%
33°C
$13 交易量
<1%
34°C
$21 交易量
4%
35°C
$131 交易量
7%
36°C
$75 交易量
15%
37°C
$446 交易量
28%
38°C
$37 交易量
27%
39°C
$54 交易量
17%
40°C
$57 交易量
8%
41°C or higher
$1,277 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies currently indicate daytime highs in Chengdu centered around 35–38 °C for July 9, 2026, with scattered showers or variable cloud cover the main source of uncertainty.** This distribution aligns with the market-implied odds peaking at 38 °C (29.5 %) and clustering between 36–39 °C, reflecting trader consensus on typical midsummer conditions in the Sichuan Basin where humidity and monsoon influences often cap extremes.
Recent early-July observations show persistent heat with highs frequently reaching 34–36 °C amid high humidity (70–80 %) and afternoon thunderstorms that can limit solar heating. Historical July climatology for Chengdu places average daily maxima near 30–32 °C, but recent years have seen more frequent 35 °C+ readings due to broader warming trends. Key variables modulating the exact peak include the timing and coverage of convective clouds or rain (which lower maxima by 2–4 °C), local wind patterns affecting advection, and precise measurement at the official urban station versus surrounding areas. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours, particularly refinements to precipitation timing, will likely drive the largest shifts in these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,514結束日期
2026-07-09市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies currently indicate daytime highs in Chengdu centered around 35–38 °C for July 9, 2026, with scattered showers or variable cloud cover the main source of uncertainty.** This distribution aligns with the market-implied odds peaking at 38 °C (29.5 %) and clustering between 36–39 °C, reflecting trader consensus on typical midsummer conditions in the Sichuan Basin where humidity and monsoon influences often cap extremes.
Recent early-July observations show persistent heat with highs frequently reaching 34–36 °C amid high humidity (70–80 %) and afternoon thunderstorms that can limit solar heating. Historical July climatology for Chengdu places average daily maxima near 30–32 °C, but recent years have seen more frequent 35 °C+ readings due to broader warming trends. Key variables modulating the exact peak include the timing and coverage of convective clouds or rain (which lower maxima by 2–4 °C), local wind patterns affecting advection, and precise measurement at the official urban station versus surrounding areas. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours, particularly refinements to precipitation timing, will likely drive the largest shifts in these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,514結束日期
2026-07-09市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies currently indicate daytime highs in Chengdu centered around 35–38 °C for July 9, 2026, with scattered showers or variable cloud cover the main source of uncertainty.** This distribution aligns with the market-implied odds peaking at 38 °C (29.5 %) and clustering between 36–39 °C, reflecting trader consensus on typical midsummer conditions in the Sichuan Basin where humidity and monsoon influences often cap extremes. Recent early-July observations show persistent heat with highs frequently reaching 34–36 °C amid high humidity (70–80 %) and afternoon thunderstorms that can limit solar heating. Historical July climatology for Chengdu places average daily maxima near 30–32 °C, but recent years have seen more frequent 35 °C+ readings due to broader warming trends. Key variables modulating the exact peak include the timing and coverage of convective clouds or rain (which lower maxima by 2–4 °C), local wind patterns affecting advection, and precise measurement at the official urban station versus surrounding areas. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours, particularly refinements to precipitation timing, will likely drive the largest shifts in these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions