Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecast models position a mid-90s high as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 14, with consensus around 95–96 °F under sunny skies, light east-southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading 94–95 °F bin at 49 % implied probability, reflecting dry, subsiding air typical of midsummer high-pressure patterns across the Front Range. Recent model runs show little spread, though afternoon heating and slight downslope effects could push readings into the upper 90s. Historical July averages near 88 °F provide context for the elevated forecast, while official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at the primary reporting station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月14日丹佛的最高溫度?
94-95°F 51%
92-93°F 34%
96-97°F 12.4%
90-91°F 2.1%
83°F或以下
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
34%
94-95°F
51%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F或更高
<1%
94-95°F 51%
92-93°F 34%
96-97°F 12.4%
90-91°F 2.1%
83°F或以下
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
34%
94-95°F
51%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecast models position a mid-90s high as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 14, with consensus around 95–96 °F under sunny skies, light east-southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading 94–95 °F bin at 49 % implied probability, reflecting dry, subsiding air typical of midsummer high-pressure patterns across the Front Range. Recent model runs show little spread, though afternoon heating and slight downslope effects could push readings into the upper 90s. Historical July averages near 88 °F provide context for the elevated forecast, while official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at the primary reporting station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions